Top Wealth Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| TWG Stock | 3.75 0.28 6.95% |
Top Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Top Wealth's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 3rd of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Top Wealth's share price is approaching 47. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Top Wealth, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.86) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
Using Top Wealth hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Top Wealth Group from the perspective of Top Wealth response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Top Wealth Group on the next trading day is expected to be 3.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92 and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.04. Top Wealth after-hype prediction price | USD 4.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Top Wealth to cross-verify your projections. Top Wealth Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Top price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Top using various technical indicators. When you analyze Top charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Top Wealth Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Top Wealth Group on the next trading day is expected to be 3.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92, mean absolute percentage error of 5.48, and the sum of the absolute errors of 55.04.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Top Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Top Wealth's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Top Wealth Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Top Wealth | Top Wealth Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Top Wealth Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Top Wealth's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Top Wealth's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 40.54, respectively. We have considered Top Wealth's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Top Wealth stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Top Wealth stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.9746 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1739 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9174 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1646 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 55.0411 |
Predictive Modules for Top Wealth
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Top Wealth Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Top Wealth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Top Wealth After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Top Wealth at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Top Wealth or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Top Wealth, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Top Wealth Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Top Wealth's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Top Wealth's historical news coverage. Top Wealth's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.22 and 41.28, respectively. We have considered Top Wealth's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Top Wealth is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Top Wealth Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Top Wealth Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Top Wealth is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Top Wealth backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Top Wealth, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
2.83 | 36.55 | 0.51 | 0.17 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.75 | 4.44 | 13.85 |
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Top Wealth Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of February Top Wealth Group is traded for 3.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.51, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.17. Top is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.44 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 13.85%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 2.83%. The volatility of related hype on Top Wealth is about 59918.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.58. Top Wealth Group has 140.56 K in debt. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Top to invest in growth at high rates of return. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Top Wealth to cross-verify your projections.Top Wealth Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Top Wealth's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Top Wealth's future price movements. Getting to know how Top Wealth's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Top Wealth may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WILC | G Willi Food International | (0.35) | 7 per month | 0.88 | 0.29 | 3.90 | (1.69) | 8.43 | |
| ALCO | Alico Inc | (0.20) | 10 per month | 1.53 | 0.10 | 3.49 | (2.53) | 7.74 | |
| ABVE | Above Food Ingredients | 0.62 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 14.07 | (15.33) | 52.76 | |
| SLSN | Solesence Common Stock | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 6.76 | (8.92) | 27.67 | |
| NATR | Natures Sunshine Products | (0.14) | 8 per month | 1.62 | 0.22 | 6.32 | (3.66) | 35.13 | |
| AFRI | Forafric Global PLC | (0.47) | 7 per month | 1.78 | 0.04 | 4.29 | (3.21) | 9.71 | |
| HFFG | Hf Foods Group | (0.03) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.65 | (4.89) | 16.37 | |
| LMNR | Limoneira Co | (0.05) | 6 per month | 2.11 | (0.03) | 2.84 | (2.80) | 10.20 | |
| PTNM | Pitanium | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BRCC | BRC Inc | (0.03) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 5.15 | (6.82) | 20.30 |
Other Forecasting Options for Top Wealth
For every potential investor in Top, whether a beginner or expert, Top Wealth's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Top Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Top. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Top Wealth's price trends.Top Wealth Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Top Wealth stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Top Wealth could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Top Wealth by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Top Wealth Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Top Wealth stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Top Wealth shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Top Wealth stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Top Wealth Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Top Wealth Risk Indicators
The analysis of Top Wealth's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Top Wealth's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting top stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 10.39 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 11.02 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 35.14 | |||
| Variance | 1234.75 | |||
| Downside Variance | 204.42 | |||
| Semi Variance | 121.38 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (12.92) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Top Wealth
The number of cover stories for Top Wealth depends on current market conditions and Top Wealth's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Top Wealth is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Top Wealth's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Top Wealth Short Properties
Top Wealth's future price predictability will typically decrease when Top Wealth's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Top Wealth Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Top Wealth's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Top Wealth's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 380.4 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 42.4 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Top Wealth to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Can Packaged Foods & Meats industry sustain growth momentum? Does Top have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Top Wealth. If investors know Top will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Top Wealth demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.86) | Earnings Share (5.35) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Top Wealth Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Top Wealth's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Top Wealth's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Top Wealth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Top Wealth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Top Wealth's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.