Towne Bancorp Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| TWNE Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
Towne Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Towne Bancorp stock prices and determine the direction of Towne Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Towne Bancorp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Towne Bancorp's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Towne Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Towne Bancorp from the perspective of Towne Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Towne Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Towne Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Towne |
Towne Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Towne price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Towne using various technical indicators. When you analyze Towne charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Towne Bancorp Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Towne Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Towne Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Towne Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Towne Bancorp Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Towne Bancorp | Towne Bancorp Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Towne Bancorp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Towne Bancorp's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Towne Bancorp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Towne Bancorp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Towne Bancorp pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Towne Bancorp pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Towne Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Towne Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Towne Bancorp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Towne Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Towne Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Towne Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Towne Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Towne Bancorp's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Towne Bancorp's historical news coverage. Towne Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Towne Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Towne Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Towne Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Towne Bancorp Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Towne Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Towne Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Towne Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
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Towne Bancorp Hype Timeline
Towne Bancorp is at this time traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Towne is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Towne Bancorp is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Towne Bancorp to cross-verify your projections.Towne Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Towne Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Towne Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Towne Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Towne Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SBNC | Southern BancShares NC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.97 | 0.1 | 3.77 | (2.61) | 11.10 | |
| OHBK | Old Harbor Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MDCE | Medical Care Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.91 | 0.08 | 33.33 | (25.00) | 106.67 | |
| IHAI | Innovative Holdings Alliance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.55 | (5.45) | 37.83 | |
| CRVH | Chilco River Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.86 | 0.06 | 15.66 | (12.50) | 148.89 | |
| FITY | Fifty 1 Labs | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 25.00 | (26.32) | 83.33 | |
| CNER | China New Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.00 | (9.09) | 30.95 | |
| SVLT | Sunvault Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 116.67 | |
| SVTPF | S Ventures Plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TNBI | Tanke Biosciences | 0.00 | 0 per month | 7.45 | 0.03 | 33.33 | (20.00) | 70.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Towne Bancorp
For every potential investor in Towne, whether a beginner or expert, Towne Bancorp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Towne Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Towne. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Towne Bancorp's price trends.Towne Bancorp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Towne Bancorp pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Towne Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Towne Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Towne Bancorp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Towne Bancorp pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Towne Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Towne Bancorp pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Towne Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Story Coverage note for Towne Bancorp
The number of cover stories for Towne Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Towne Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Towne Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Towne Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Towne Pink Sheet
Towne Bancorp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Towne Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Towne with respect to the benefits of owning Towne Bancorp security.