Two Harbors Preferred Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| TWO-PC Preferred Stock | USD 25.05 0.06 0.24% |
Two Preferred Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Two Harbors stock prices and determine the direction of Two Harbors Investment's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Two Harbors' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Two Harbors' share price is above 70 at the present time. This usually implies that the preferred stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Two, making its price go up or down. Momentum 75
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Two Harbors hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Two Harbors Investment from the perspective of Two Harbors response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Two Harbors Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 25.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.97. Two Harbors after-hype prediction price | USD 25.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Two |
Two Harbors Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Two price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Two using various technical indicators. When you analyze Two charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Two Harbors Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Two Harbors Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 25.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.97.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Two Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Two Harbors' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Two Harbors Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Two Harbors | Two Harbors Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Two Harbors Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Two Harbors' Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Two Harbors' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.82 and 25.77, respectively. We have considered Two Harbors' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Two Harbors preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Two Harbors preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.4726 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0802 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0034 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.9725 |
Predictive Modules for Two Harbors
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Two Harbors Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Two Harbors After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Two Harbors at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Two Harbors or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Two Harbors, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Two Harbors Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Two Harbors' preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Two Harbors' historical news coverage. Two Harbors' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.57 and 25.53, respectively. We have considered Two Harbors' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Two Harbors is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Two Harbors Investment is based on 3 months time horizon.
Two Harbors Preferred Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Two Harbors is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Two Harbors backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Two Harbors, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
25.05 | 25.05 | 0.00 |
|
Two Harbors Hype Timeline
Two Harbors Investment is at this time traded for 25.05. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Two is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Two Harbors is about 2611.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.05. The company last dividend was issued on the 27th of January 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Two Harbors to cross-verify your projections.Two Harbors Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Two Harbors' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Two Harbors' future price movements. Getting to know how Two Harbors' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Two Harbors may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TWO-PB | Two Harbors Investment | 0.01 | 15 per month | 0.32 | 0.1 | 1.08 | (0.88) | 6.32 | |
| TWO-PA | Two Harbors Investment | 0.01 | 14 per month | 0.35 | 0.06 | 1.16 | (0.92) | 6.77 | |
| CIM-PD | Chimera Investment | 0.07 | 4 per month | 0.49 | (0.16) | 0.53 | (0.74) | 1.99 | |
| CIM-PC | Chimera Investment | 0.07 | 10 per month | 0.41 | (0.11) | 0.69 | (0.69) | 1.73 | |
| CIM-PB | Chimera Investment | (0.07) | 13 per month | 0.45 | (0.14) | 0.64 | (0.80) | 1.73 |
Other Forecasting Options for Two Harbors
For every potential investor in Two, whether a beginner or expert, Two Harbors' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Two Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Two. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Two Harbors' price trends.Two Harbors Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Two Harbors preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Two Harbors could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Two Harbors by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Two Harbors Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Two Harbors preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Two Harbors shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Two Harbors preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Two Harbors Investment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Two Harbors Risk Indicators
The analysis of Two Harbors' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Two Harbors' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting two preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.2906 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4639 | |||
| Variance | 0.2152 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.1198 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.04) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.36) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Two Harbors
The number of cover stories for Two Harbors depends on current market conditions and Two Harbors' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Two Harbors is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Two Harbors' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Two Harbors Short Properties
Two Harbors' future price predictability will typically decrease when Two Harbors' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Two Harbors Investment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Two Harbors' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Two Harbors' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2129.00 | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.5 B |
Other Information on Investing in Two Preferred Stock
Two Harbors financial ratios help investors to determine whether Two Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Two with respect to the benefits of owning Two Harbors security.