Touchstone Exploration Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| TXP Stock | CAD 0.17 0.01 5.56% |
Touchstone Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Touchstone Exploration's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Touchstone Exploration's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Touchstone Exploration fundamentals over time.
As of today the value of relative strength index of Touchstone Exploration's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.99) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.0626 | Wall Street Target Price 0.5433 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.20) |
Using Touchstone Exploration hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Touchstone Exploration from the perspective of Touchstone Exploration response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Touchstone Exploration on the next trading day is expected to be 0.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.41. Touchstone Exploration after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Touchstone |
Touchstone Exploration Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Touchstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Touchstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Touchstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Touchstone Exploration Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Touchstone Exploration on the next trading day is expected to be 0.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.41.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Touchstone Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Touchstone Exploration's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Touchstone Exploration Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Touchstone Exploration | Touchstone Exploration Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Touchstone Exploration Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Touchstone Exploration's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Touchstone Exploration's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 7.36, respectively. We have considered Touchstone Exploration's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Touchstone Exploration stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Touchstone Exploration stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.002 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.007 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0437 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.4138 |
Predictive Modules for Touchstone Exploration
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Touchstone Exploration. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Touchstone Exploration After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Touchstone Exploration at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Touchstone Exploration or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Touchstone Exploration, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Touchstone Exploration Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Touchstone Exploration's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Touchstone Exploration's historical news coverage. Touchstone Exploration's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 7.39, respectively. We have considered Touchstone Exploration's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Touchstone Exploration is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Touchstone Exploration is based on 3 months time horizon.
Touchstone Exploration Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Touchstone Exploration is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Touchstone Exploration backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Touchstone Exploration, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.66 | 7.19 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.17 | 0.20 | 17.65 |
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Touchstone Exploration Hype Timeline
Touchstone Exploration is at this time traded for 0.17on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Touchstone is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.2 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 17.65%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.66%. The volatility of related hype on Touchstone Exploration is about 38346.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.16. Touchstone Exploration has accumulated 40.66 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.51, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Touchstone Exploration has a current ratio of 1.68, which is within standard range for the sector. Debt can assist Touchstone Exploration until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Touchstone Exploration's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Touchstone Exploration sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Touchstone to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Touchstone Exploration's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Touchstone Exploration to cross-verify your projections.Touchstone Exploration Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Touchstone Exploration's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Touchstone Exploration's future price movements. Getting to know how Touchstone Exploration's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Touchstone Exploration may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AFE | Africa Energy Corp | (0.02) | 1 per month | 4.81 | 0.02 | 15.38 | (12.50) | 32.47 | |
| AXL | Arrow Exploration Corp | (0.01) | 3 per month | 2.94 | 0.14 | 9.09 | (4.76) | 26.85 | |
| NSE | New Stratus Energy | 0.02 | 3 per month | 2.80 | 0.04 | 4.88 | (4.65) | 29.05 | |
| ORC-B | Orca Energy Group | (0.09) | 3 per month | 1.40 | 0.11 | 3.77 | (2.78) | 31.06 | |
| OYL | CGX Energy | 0.00 | 4 per month | 5.89 | 0.08 | 13.33 | (12.50) | 60.83 | |
| ROK | ROK Resources | (0.04) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.26 | (5.00) | 26.28 | |
| EOG | Eco Atlantic Oil | 0.00 | 5 per month | 4.23 | 0.27 | 21.21 | (8.57) | 64.04 | |
| PUR | Premier American Uranium | (0.01) | 3 per month | 5.03 | 0.06 | 13.33 | (7.50) | 29.19 |
Other Forecasting Options for Touchstone Exploration
For every potential investor in Touchstone, whether a beginner or expert, Touchstone Exploration's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Touchstone Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Touchstone. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Touchstone Exploration's price trends.Touchstone Exploration Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Touchstone Exploration stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Touchstone Exploration could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Touchstone Exploration by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Touchstone Exploration Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Touchstone Exploration stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Touchstone Exploration shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Touchstone Exploration stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Touchstone Exploration entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0588 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.00) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.94 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.17 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.17 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.01 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) |
Touchstone Exploration Risk Indicators
The analysis of Touchstone Exploration's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Touchstone Exploration's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting touchstone stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.13 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.46 | |||
| Variance | 71.54 | |||
| Downside Variance | 132.5 | |||
| Semi Variance | 38.19 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (10.52) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Touchstone Exploration
The number of cover stories for Touchstone Exploration depends on current market conditions and Touchstone Exploration's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Touchstone Exploration is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Touchstone Exploration's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Touchstone Exploration Short Properties
Touchstone Exploration's future price predictability will typically decrease when Touchstone Exploration's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Touchstone Exploration often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Touchstone Exploration's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Touchstone Exploration's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 236.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.7 M |
Other Information on Investing in Touchstone Stock
Touchstone Exploration financial ratios help investors to determine whether Touchstone Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Touchstone with respect to the benefits of owning Touchstone Exploration security.