Tortoise Energy Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| TYG Stock | USD 43.46 0.62 1.45% |
Tortoise Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Tortoise Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Tortoise Energy's share price is at 57. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Tortoise Energy, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.058 | Wall Street Target Price 34 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.693 |
Using Tortoise Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tortoise Energy Infrastructure from the perspective of Tortoise Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Tortoise Energy Infrastructure on the next trading day is expected to be 46.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.86. Tortoise Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 43.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tortoise Energy to cross-verify your projections. Tortoise Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tortoise price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tortoise using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tortoise charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Tortoise Energy Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Tortoise Energy Infrastructure on the next trading day is expected to be 46.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54, mean absolute percentage error of 0.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.86.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tortoise Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tortoise Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tortoise Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Tortoise Energy | Tortoise Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Tortoise Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Tortoise Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tortoise Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 44.87 and 47.24, respectively. We have considered Tortoise Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tortoise Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tortoise Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.425 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5386 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0127 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 32.857 |
Predictive Modules for Tortoise Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tortoise Energy Infr. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tortoise Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tortoise Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tortoise Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tortoise Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tortoise Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tortoise Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tortoise Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tortoise Energy's historical news coverage. Tortoise Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 42.22 and 44.58, respectively. We have considered Tortoise Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tortoise Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tortoise Energy Infr is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tortoise Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tortoise Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tortoise Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tortoise Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.18 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
43.46 | 43.40 | 0.14 |
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Tortoise Energy Hype Timeline
On the 27th of January Tortoise Energy Infr is traded for 43.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Tortoise is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 43.4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Tortoise Energy is about 991.6%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 43.45. About 30.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.21. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Tortoise Energy Infr recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.07. The entity last dividend was issued on the 20th of February 2026. The firm had 1:4 split on the 1st of May 2020. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tortoise Energy to cross-verify your projections.Tortoise Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tortoise Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tortoise Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Tortoise Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tortoise Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FDUS | Fidus Investment Corp | (0.06) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.94 | (1.84) | 5.94 | |
| SLRC | SLR Investment Corp | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.94 | 0.02 | 1.88 | (1.73) | 5.30 | |
| NCDL | Nuveen Churchill Direct | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.17 | (1.80) | 6.20 | |
| ECC | Eagle Point Credit | 0.12 | 8 per month | 1.49 | 0.01 | 2.49 | (2.11) | 10.10 | |
| VINP | Vinci Partners Investments | 0.24 | 7 per month | 1.03 | 0.11 | 2.68 | (2.10) | 5.36 | |
| MSIF | MSCome Fund | (0.02) | 4 per month | 1.65 | (0.01) | 2.91 | (2.89) | 11.44 | |
| PFLT | PennantPark Floating Rate | 0.10 | 11 per month | 0.70 | 0.08 | 1.95 | (1.50) | 4.17 | |
| EFSC | Enterprise Financial Services | (0.98) | 7 per month | 1.29 | (0.03) | 2.79 | (1.83) | 9.13 | |
| NXP | Nuveen Select Tax Free | (0.11) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 0.71 | (0.76) | 2.59 | |
| GAM | General American Investors | (0.44) | 9 per month | 0.32 | 0.07 | 1.04 | (0.83) | 2.57 |
Other Forecasting Options for Tortoise Energy
For every potential investor in Tortoise, whether a beginner or expert, Tortoise Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tortoise Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tortoise. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tortoise Energy's price trends.Tortoise Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tortoise Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tortoise Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tortoise Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tortoise Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tortoise Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tortoise Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tortoise Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tortoise Energy Infrastructure entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Tortoise Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Tortoise Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tortoise Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tortoise stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9012 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8598 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Variance | 1.3 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.9467 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7392 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.06) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Tortoise Energy
The number of cover stories for Tortoise Energy depends on current market conditions and Tortoise Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tortoise Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tortoise Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Tortoise Energy Short Properties
Tortoise Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tortoise Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tortoise Energy Infrastructure often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tortoise Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tortoise Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 288.5 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tortoise Energy to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tortoise Energy. If investors know Tortoise will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tortoise Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.058 | Dividend Share 3.75 | Earnings Share 8.07 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.693 |
The market value of Tortoise Energy Infr is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tortoise that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tortoise Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tortoise Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tortoise Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tortoise Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tortoise Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tortoise Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tortoise Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.