Teledyne Technologies Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

TYZ Stock  EUR 519.20  0.20  0.04%   
Teledyne Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Teledyne Technologies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Teledyne Technologies' stock price is roughly 64. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 2nd of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Teledyne, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 64

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Teledyne Technologies' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Teledyne Technologies and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Teledyne Technologies' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Teledyne Technologies Incorporated, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Teledyne Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Teledyne Technologies Incorporated from the perspective of Teledyne Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Teledyne Technologies Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 519.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 357.38.

Teledyne Technologies after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 0.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Teledyne Technologies to cross-verify your projections.

Teledyne Technologies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Teledyne price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Teledyne using various technical indicators. When you analyze Teledyne charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Teledyne Technologies simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Teledyne Technologies Incorporated are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Teledyne Technologies prices get older.

Teledyne Technologies Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Teledyne Technologies Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 519.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.96, mean absolute percentage error of 82.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 357.38.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Teledyne Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Teledyne Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Teledyne Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Teledyne Technologies  Teledyne Technologies Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Teledyne Technologies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Teledyne Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Teledyne Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 517.13 and 521.08, respectively. We have considered Teledyne Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
519.20
517.13
Downside
519.10
Expected Value
521.08
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Teledyne Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Teledyne Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.6818
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.5413
MADMean absolute deviation5.9563
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0128
SAESum of the absolute errors357.3761
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Teledyne Technologies Incorporated forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Teledyne Technologies observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Teledyne Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teledyne Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.001.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.02140.46142.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
425.37485.89546.41
Details

Teledyne Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Teledyne Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Teledyne Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Teledyne Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Teledyne Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Teledyne Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Teledyne Technologies' historical news coverage. Teledyne Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 1.98, respectively. We have considered Teledyne Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
519.20
0.00
After-hype Price
1.98
Upside
Teledyne Technologies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Teledyne Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.

Teledyne Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Teledyne Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Teledyne Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Teledyne Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.29 
1.98
 0.00  
  0.06 
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
519.20
0.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Teledyne Technologies Hype Timeline

Teledyne Technologies is at this time traded for 519.20on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.06. Teledyne is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.29%. %. The volatility of related hype on Teledyne Technologies is about 1021.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 519.26. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Teledyne Technologies was at this time reported as 185.99. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 15.79. Teledyne Technologies had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Teledyne Technologies to cross-verify your projections.

Teledyne Technologies Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Teledyne Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Teledyne Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Teledyne Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Teledyne Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Teledyne Technologies

For every potential investor in Teledyne, whether a beginner or expert, Teledyne Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Teledyne Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Teledyne. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Teledyne Technologies' price trends.

Teledyne Technologies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Teledyne Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Teledyne Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Teledyne Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Teledyne Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Teledyne Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Teledyne Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Teledyne Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Teledyne Technologies Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Teledyne Technologies Risk Indicators

The analysis of Teledyne Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Teledyne Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting teledyne stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Teledyne Technologies

The number of cover stories for Teledyne Technologies depends on current market conditions and Teledyne Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Teledyne Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Teledyne Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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When determining whether Teledyne Technologies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Teledyne Technologies' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Teledyne Technologies Incorporated Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Teledyne Technologies Incorporated Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Teledyne Technologies to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Teledyne Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Teledyne Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Teledyne Technologies' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.