Victory Portfolios Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction
| UBND Etf | USD 21.98 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Victory Portfolios II on the next trading day is expected to be 22.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.19. Victory Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Victory Portfolios stock prices and determine the direction of Victory Portfolios II's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Victory Portfolios' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength momentum indicator of Victory Portfolios' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Victory Portfolios hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Victory Portfolios II from the perspective of Victory Portfolios response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Victory Portfolios II on the next trading day is expected to be 22.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.19. Victory Portfolios after-hype prediction price | USD 21.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Victory Portfolios to cross-verify your projections. Victory Portfolios Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Victory price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Victory using various technical indicators. When you analyze Victory charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Victory Portfolios Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Victory Portfolios II on the next trading day is expected to be 22.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.19.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Victory Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Victory Portfolios' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Victory Portfolios Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Victory Portfolios | Victory Portfolios Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Victory Portfolios Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Victory Portfolios' Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Victory Portfolios' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.89 and 22.25, respectively. We have considered Victory Portfolios' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Victory Portfolios etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Victory Portfolios etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.9093 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0359 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0016 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.1918 |
Predictive Modules for Victory Portfolios
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Victory Portfolios. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Victory Portfolios
For every potential investor in Victory, whether a beginner or expert, Victory Portfolios' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Victory Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Victory. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Victory Portfolios' price trends.Victory Portfolios Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Victory Portfolios etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Victory Portfolios could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Victory Portfolios by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Victory Portfolios Technical and Predictive Analytics
The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Victory Portfolios' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Victory Portfolios' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Victory Portfolios Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Victory Portfolios etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Victory Portfolios shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Victory Portfolios etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Victory Portfolios II entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0018 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 21.99 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 21.99 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.04 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) |
Victory Portfolios Risk Indicators
The analysis of Victory Portfolios' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Victory Portfolios' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting victory etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1452 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.0764 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1804 | |||
| Variance | 0.0325 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0374 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0058 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.18) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| JBL | Jabil Circuit | |
| MRK | Merck Company | |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Victory Portfolios to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
The market value of Victory Portfolios is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Victory that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Victory Portfolios' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Victory Portfolios' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Victory Portfolios' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Victory Portfolios' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Victory Portfolios' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Victory Portfolios is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Victory Portfolios' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.