Urban Edge Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| UE Stock | USD 19.13 0.14 0.73% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Urban Edge Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 19.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.64. Urban Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Urban Edge stock prices and determine the direction of Urban Edge Properties's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Urban Edge's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Urban Edge's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.696 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1008 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.32 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.36 | Wall Street Target Price 22.2857 |
Using Urban Edge hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Urban Edge Properties from the perspective of Urban Edge response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Urban Edge using Urban Edge's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Urban using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Urban Edge's stock price.
Urban Edge Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Urban Edge's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Urban. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Urban Edge stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 19.2069 | Short Percent 0.0535 | Short Ratio 4.56 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.5 M | 50 Day MA 19.1184 |
Urban Edge Properties Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Urban Edge's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Urban. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Urban can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Urban Edge Properties. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Urban Edge Implied Volatility | 1.33 |
Urban Edge's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Urban Edge Properties stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Urban Edge's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Urban Edge stock will not fluctuate a lot when Urban Edge's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Urban Edge Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 19.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.64. Urban Edge after-hype prediction price | USD 19.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Urban Edge to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Urban contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Urban Edge Properties will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0831% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Urban Edge trading at USD 19.13, that is roughly USD 0.0159 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Urban Edge's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Urban Edge Properties options at the current volatility level of 1.33%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Urban Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Urban Edge's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Urban Edge's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Urban Edge stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Urban Edge's open interest, investors have to compare it to Urban Edge's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Urban Edge is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Urban. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Urban Edge Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Urban price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Urban using various technical indicators. When you analyze Urban charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Urban Edge Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Urban Edge's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2012-12-31 | Previous Quarter 53 M | Current Value 77.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 186.5 M |
Urban Edge Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Urban Edge Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 19.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.64.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Urban Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Urban Edge's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Urban Edge Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Urban Edge | Urban Edge Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Urban Edge Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Urban Edge's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Urban Edge's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.22 and 20.58, respectively. We have considered Urban Edge's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Urban Edge stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Urban Edge stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.9232 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1877 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0099 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.636 |
Predictive Modules for Urban Edge
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Urban Edge Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Urban Edge's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Urban Edge After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Urban Edge at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Urban Edge or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Urban Edge, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Urban Edge Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Urban Edge's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Urban Edge's historical news coverage. Urban Edge's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.91 and 20.27, respectively. We have considered Urban Edge's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Urban Edge is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Urban Edge Properties is based on 3 months time horizon.
Urban Edge Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Urban Edge is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Urban Edge backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Urban Edge, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.18 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 20 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 20 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.13 | 19.09 | 0.21 |
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Urban Edge Hype Timeline
As of January 24, 2026 Urban Edge Properties is listed for 19.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Urban is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 19.09. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Urban Edge is about 504.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.15. About 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.87. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Urban Edge Properties last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 20 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Urban Edge to cross-verify your projections.Urban Edge Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Urban Edge's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Urban Edge's future price movements. Getting to know how Urban Edge's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Urban Edge may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MFA | MFA Financial | 0.08 | 9 per month | 0.82 | 0.09 | 2.36 | (1.47) | 6.46 | |
| DBRG | Digitalbridge Group | 0.38 | 12 per month | 2.26 | 0.06 | 5.33 | (5.22) | 51.16 | |
| NSA | National Storage Affiliates | 0.38 | 4 per month | 1.60 | (0.01) | 2.75 | (2.38) | 8.14 | |
| EPR | EPR Properties | 0.43 | 9 per month | 1.50 | (0.06) | 1.90 | (1.60) | 6.05 | |
| FCPT | Four Corners Property | 0.38 | 33 per month | 0.95 | (0.07) | 1.84 | (1.30) | 4.05 | |
| EFC | Ellington Financial | (0.19) | 12 per month | 0.90 | (0) | 1.27 | (1.36) | 6.68 | |
| RC | Ready Capital Corp | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.19 | (4.92) | 14.40 | |
| LXP | LXP Industrial Trust | 0.38 | 4 per month | 1.37 | (0.02) | 1.79 | (1.97) | 7.32 |
Other Forecasting Options for Urban Edge
For every potential investor in Urban, whether a beginner or expert, Urban Edge's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Urban Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Urban. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Urban Edge's price trends.Urban Edge Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Urban Edge stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Urban Edge could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Urban Edge by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Urban Edge Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Urban Edge stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Urban Edge shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Urban Edge stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Urban Edge Properties entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 19703.23 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.28) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 19.11 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 19.12 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.05) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.14) |
Urban Edge Risk Indicators
The analysis of Urban Edge's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Urban Edge's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting urban stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.925 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Variance | 1.32 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Urban Edge
The number of cover stories for Urban Edge depends on current market conditions and Urban Edge's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Urban Edge is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Urban Edge's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Urban Edge Short Properties
Urban Edge's future price predictability will typically decrease when Urban Edge's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Urban Edge Properties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Urban Edge's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Urban Edge's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 121.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 41.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Urban Edge to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Retail REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Urban Edge. If investors know Urban will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Urban Edge listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.696 | Dividend Share 0.74 | Earnings Share 0.89 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.068 |
The market value of Urban Edge Properties is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Urban that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Urban Edge's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Urban Edge's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Urban Edge's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Urban Edge's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Urban Edge's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Urban Edge is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Urban Edge's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.