United Health OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| UEEC Stock | USD 0.06 0 1.67% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of United Health Products on the next trading day is expected to be 0.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.22. United OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast United Health stock prices and determine the direction of United Health Products's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of United Health's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of United Health's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of United Health based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using United Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of United Health Products from the perspective of United Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of United Health Products on the next trading day is expected to be 0.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.22. United Health after-hype prediction price | USD 0.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
United |
United Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine United price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for United using various technical indicators. When you analyze United charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
United Health Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of United Health Products on the next trading day is expected to be 0.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000021, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.22.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict United OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that United Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
United Health OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest United Health | United Health Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
United Health Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting United Health's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. United Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0006 and 8.23, respectively. We have considered United Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of United Health otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent United Health otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 107.3364 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 4.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0036 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0624 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.2189 |
Predictive Modules for United Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Health Products. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of United Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
United Health After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of United Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in United Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of United Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
United Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting United Health's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on United Health's historical news coverage. United Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 8.23, respectively. We have considered United Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
United Health is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United Health Products is based on 3 months time horizon.
United Health OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as United Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading United Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with United Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 8.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.06 | 0.06 | 1.69 |
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United Health Hype Timeline
United Health Products is at this time traded for 0.06. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. United is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.06 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 1.69%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.09%. The volatility of related hype on United Health is about 204250.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.06. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 59. Net Loss for the year was (30.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 34. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of United Health to cross-verify your projections.United Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to United Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict United Health's future price movements. Getting to know how United Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how United Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IMMVF | Immunovia AB | 0.01 | 16 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 61.61 | |
| CLCS | Cell Source | 0.01 | 14 per month | 4.63 | 0.20 | 12.50 | (10.00) | 31.62 | |
| ZHCLF | Zenith Capital Corp | 0.01 | 3 per month | 73.59 | 0.21 | 566.67 | (50.00) | 30,000 | |
| QPTFF | Quest PharmaTech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SYGGF | Synairgen plc | 0.01 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | |
| CRVW | Careview Comm | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.63 | 0.07 | 25.25 | (19.06) | 55.90 | |
| GLABF | Gemina Laboratories | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 0.00 | (27.54) | 144.07 | |
| RYAHF | Ryah Group | 0.01 | 18 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GTHP | Guided Therapeutics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.68 | 0.11 | 28.00 | (20.00) | 59.01 | |
| BTCY | Biotricity | (0.01) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 12.07 | (10.81) | 32.11 |
Other Forecasting Options for United Health
For every potential investor in United, whether a beginner or expert, United Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. United OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in United. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying United Health's price trends.United Health Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with United Health otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of United Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing United Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
United Health Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how United Health otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading United Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying United Health otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify United Health Products entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 176.67 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.00) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0595 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0593 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0) |
United Health Risk Indicators
The analysis of United Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in United Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting united otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.4 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 7.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.31 | |||
| Variance | 69.03 | |||
| Downside Variance | 70.18 | |||
| Semi Variance | 49.49 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (8.18) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for United Health
The number of cover stories for United Health depends on current market conditions and United Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that United Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about United Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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United Health Short Properties
United Health's future price predictability will typically decrease when United Health's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of United Health Products often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential United Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 225.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 21.8 K |
Other Information on Investing in United OTC Stock
United Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether United OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in United with respect to the benefits of owning United Health security.