Westlake Chemical Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| UEO Stock | EUR 121.00 1.00 0.82% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Westlake Chemical on the next trading day is expected to be 121.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.18. Westlake Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Westlake Chemical's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
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Westlake Chemical Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Westlake Chemical on the next trading day is expected to be 121.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.30, mean absolute percentage error of 2.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.18.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Westlake Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Westlake Chemical's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Westlake Chemical Stock Forecast Pattern
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Westlake Chemical Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Westlake Chemical's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Westlake Chemical's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 119.53 and 122.47, respectively. We have considered Westlake Chemical's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Westlake Chemical stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Westlake Chemical stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.3253 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0413 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.303 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0104 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 78.18 |
Predictive Modules for Westlake Chemical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Westlake Chemical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Westlake Chemical
For every potential investor in Westlake, whether a beginner or expert, Westlake Chemical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Westlake Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Westlake. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Westlake Chemical's price trends.Westlake Chemical Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Westlake Chemical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Westlake Chemical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Westlake Chemical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Westlake Chemical Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Westlake Chemical's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Westlake Chemical's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Westlake Chemical Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Westlake Chemical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Westlake Chemical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Westlake Chemical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Westlake Chemical entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Westlake Chemical Risk Indicators
The analysis of Westlake Chemical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Westlake Chemical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting westlake stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Variance | 2.18 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Westlake Stock
When determining whether Westlake Chemical is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Westlake Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Westlake Chemical Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Westlake Chemical Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Westlake Chemical to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Westlake Stock please use our How to Invest in Westlake Chemical guide.You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.