Ubiquiti Networks Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

UI Stock  USD 566.28  12.93  2.34%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ubiquiti Networks on the next trading day is expected to be 565.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 15.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 925.34. Ubiquiti Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ubiquiti Networks' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 3rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Ubiquiti Networks' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Ubiquiti Networks' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ubiquiti Networks, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ubiquiti Networks' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.621
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.82
EPS Estimate Current Year
12.527
EPS Estimate Next Year
12.707
Wall Street Target Price
587.5
Using Ubiquiti Networks hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ubiquiti Networks from the perspective of Ubiquiti Networks response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Ubiquiti Networks Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Ubiquiti Networks' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ubiquiti. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ubiquiti can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ubiquiti Networks. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ubiquiti Networks' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ubiquiti Networks.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ubiquiti Networks on the next trading day is expected to be 565.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 15.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 925.34.

Ubiquiti Networks after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 563.19  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ubiquiti Networks to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Ubiquiti Stock please use our How to Invest in Ubiquiti Networks guide.The Ubiquiti Networks' current Payables Turnover is estimated to increase to 9.95, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 2.36. . The Ubiquiti Networks' current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 58 M. The Ubiquiti Networks' current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 859.6 M.

Ubiquiti Networks Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ubiquiti price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ubiquiti using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ubiquiti charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Ubiquiti Networks - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Ubiquiti Networks prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Ubiquiti Networks price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Ubiquiti Networks.

Ubiquiti Networks Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ubiquiti Networks on the next trading day is expected to be 565.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 15.42, mean absolute percentage error of 678.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 925.34.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ubiquiti Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ubiquiti Networks' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ubiquiti Networks Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Ubiquiti NetworksUbiquiti Networks Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Ubiquiti Networks Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ubiquiti Networks' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ubiquiti Networks' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 562.27 and 569.42, respectively. We have considered Ubiquiti Networks' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
566.28
562.27
Downside
565.85
Expected Value
569.42
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ubiquiti Networks stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ubiquiti Networks stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 2.2504
MADMean absolute deviation15.4224
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0243
SAESum of the absolute errors925.3432
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Ubiquiti Networks observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Ubiquiti Networks observations.

Predictive Modules for Ubiquiti Networks

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ubiquiti Networks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
559.61563.19566.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
556.32559.90622.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
531.25563.58595.92
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
534.63587.50652.13
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Ubiquiti Networks

For every potential investor in Ubiquiti, whether a beginner or expert, Ubiquiti Networks' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ubiquiti Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ubiquiti. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ubiquiti Networks' price trends.

Ubiquiti Networks Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ubiquiti Networks stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ubiquiti Networks could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ubiquiti Networks by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ubiquiti Networks Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ubiquiti Networks' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ubiquiti Networks' current price.

Ubiquiti Networks Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ubiquiti Networks stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ubiquiti Networks shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ubiquiti Networks stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ubiquiti Networks entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ubiquiti Networks Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ubiquiti Networks' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ubiquiti Networks' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ubiquiti stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ubiquiti Networks to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Ubiquiti Stock please use our How to Invest in Ubiquiti Networks guide.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Is Communications Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ubiquiti Networks. If investors know Ubiquiti will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ubiquiti Networks listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.621
Dividend Share
2.8
Earnings Share
13.36
Revenue Per Share
45.579
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.333
The market value of Ubiquiti Networks is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ubiquiti that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ubiquiti Networks' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ubiquiti Networks' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ubiquiti Networks' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ubiquiti Networks' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ubiquiti Networks' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ubiquiti Networks is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ubiquiti Networks' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.