United IndustrialLtd Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

UILCY Stock  USD 27.22  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of United Industrial on the next trading day is expected to be 27.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. United Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
United IndustrialLtd simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for United Industrial are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as United IndustrialLtd prices get older.

United IndustrialLtd Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of United Industrial on the next trading day is expected to be 27.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict United Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that United IndustrialLtd's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

United IndustrialLtd Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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United IndustrialLtd Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting United IndustrialLtd's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. United IndustrialLtd's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 27.22 and 27.22, respectively. We have considered United IndustrialLtd's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
27.22
27.22
Expected Value
27.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of United IndustrialLtd pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent United IndustrialLtd pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting United Industrial forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent United IndustrialLtd observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for United IndustrialLtd

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United IndustrialLtd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of United IndustrialLtd's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.2227.2227.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.2227.2227.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
27.2227.2227.22
Details

Other Forecasting Options for United IndustrialLtd

For every potential investor in United, whether a beginner or expert, United IndustrialLtd's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. United Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in United. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying United IndustrialLtd's price trends.

United IndustrialLtd Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with United IndustrialLtd pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of United IndustrialLtd could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing United IndustrialLtd by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

United IndustrialLtd Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of United IndustrialLtd's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of United IndustrialLtd's current price.

United IndustrialLtd Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how United IndustrialLtd pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading United IndustrialLtd shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying United IndustrialLtd pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify United Industrial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for United Pink Sheet Analysis

When running United IndustrialLtd's price analysis, check to measure United IndustrialLtd's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United IndustrialLtd is operating at the current time. Most of United IndustrialLtd's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United IndustrialLtd's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United IndustrialLtd's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United IndustrialLtd to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.