Unilever PLC Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| UL Stock | USD 68.36 0.83 1.23% |
Unilever Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Unilever PLC's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Unilever PLC's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Unilever PLC fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Unilever PLC's share price is at 57. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Unilever PLC, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.9383 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.087 | Wall Street Target Price 70.4128 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
Using Unilever PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Unilever PLC ADR from the perspective of Unilever PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Unilever PLC using Unilever PLC's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Unilever using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Unilever PLC's stock price.
Unilever PLC Short Interest
An investor who is long Unilever PLC may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Unilever PLC and may potentially protect profits, hedge Unilever PLC with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 68.5487 | Short Percent 0.0008 | Short Ratio 1.76 | Shares Short Prior Month 3 M | 50 Day MA 65.7058 |
Unilever Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Unilever PLC ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 68.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.17.Unilever PLC ADR Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Unilever PLC's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Unilever. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Unilever can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Unilever PLC ADR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Unilever PLC's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Unilever PLC.
Unilever PLC Implied Volatility | 0.29 |
Unilever PLC's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Unilever PLC ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Unilever PLC's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Unilever PLC stock will not fluctuate a lot when Unilever PLC's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Unilever PLC ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 68.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.17. Unilever PLC after-hype prediction price | USD 68.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Unilever PLC to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Unilever contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Unilever PLC ADR will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0181% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Unilever PLC trading at USD 68.36, that is roughly USD 0.0124 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Unilever PLC's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Unilever PLC ADR options at the current volatility level of 0.29%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Unilever Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Unilever PLC's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Unilever PLC's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Unilever PLC stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Unilever PLC's open interest, investors have to compare it to Unilever PLC's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Unilever PLC is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Unilever. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Unilever PLC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Unilever price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Unilever using various technical indicators. When you analyze Unilever charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Unilever PLC Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Unilever PLC ADR on the next trading day is expected to be 68.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65, mean absolute percentage error of 0.86, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Unilever Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Unilever PLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Unilever PLC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Unilever PLC | Unilever PLC Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Unilever PLC Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Unilever PLC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Unilever PLC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 66.94 and 69.78, respectively. We have considered Unilever PLC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Unilever PLC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Unilever PLC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.2818 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0048 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6469 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0099 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 38.165 |
Predictive Modules for Unilever PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Unilever PLC ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Unilever PLC After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Unilever PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Unilever PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Unilever PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Unilever PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Unilever PLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Unilever PLC's historical news coverage. Unilever PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 66.95 and 69.79, respectively. We have considered Unilever PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Unilever PLC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Unilever PLC ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.
Unilever PLC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Unilever PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Unilever PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Unilever PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.42 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
68.36 | 68.37 | 0.01 |
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Unilever PLC Hype Timeline
As of February 2, 2026 Unilever PLC ADR is listed for 68.36. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Unilever is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 68.37 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Unilever PLC is about 1972.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 68.36. The company generated the yearly revenue of 60.76 B. Reported Net Income was 5.74 B with gross profit of 26.38 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Unilever PLC to cross-verify your projections.Unilever PLC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Unilever PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Unilever PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Unilever PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Unilever PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GXRFF | Prospera Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 10.70 | (9.67) | 38.06 | |
| FHTX | Foghorn Therapeutics | (0.04) | 9 per month | 4.28 | 0.11 | 9.16 | (5.56) | 31.12 | |
| PYXS | Pyxis Oncology | (0.02) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 17.05 | (15.41) | 70.66 | |
| MRK | Merck Company | 0.42 | 7 per month | 1.13 | 0.19 | 3.59 | (1.98) | 8.09 | |
| USSTX | Tax Exempt Short Term | 2.28 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.39) | 0.19 | (0.10) | 0.39 | |
| JDDSF | JD Sports Fashion | (2.61) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.00 | (0.87) | 22.36 | |
| NEMTF | Nemetschek SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.70 | |
| AA | Alcoa Corp | 1.42 | 8 per month | 2.69 | 0.16 | 6.40 | (5.54) | 14.55 | |
| JDSPY | JD Sports Fashion | (2.61) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.19 | (6.25) | 15.07 | |
| ALLE | Allegion PLC | 0.44 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.15 | (1.99) | 5.10 |
Other Forecasting Options for Unilever PLC
For every potential investor in Unilever, whether a beginner or expert, Unilever PLC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Unilever Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Unilever. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Unilever PLC's price trends.Unilever PLC Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Unilever PLC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Unilever PLC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Unilever PLC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Unilever PLC Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Unilever PLC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Unilever PLC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Unilever PLC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Unilever PLC ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Unilever PLC Risk Indicators
The analysis of Unilever PLC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Unilever PLC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting unilever stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9688 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Variance | 1.98 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Unilever PLC
The number of cover stories for Unilever PLC depends on current market conditions and Unilever PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Unilever PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Unilever PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Unilever PLC Short Properties
Unilever PLC's future price predictability will typically decrease when Unilever PLC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Unilever PLC ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Unilever PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Unilever PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.6 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Unilever PLC to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Unilever Stock please use our How to buy in Unilever Stock guide.You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is Personal Care Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Unilever PLC. If investors know Unilever will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Unilever PLC assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Dividend Share 2.061 | Earnings Share 3.06 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
The market value of Unilever PLC ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Unilever that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Unilever PLC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Unilever PLC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Unilever PLC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Unilever PLC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Unilever PLC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Unilever PLC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Unilever PLC's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.