REX IncomeMax Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

ULTI Etf  USD 15.69  0.15  0.95%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of REX IncomeMax Option on the next trading day is expected to be 13.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.17. REX Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of REX IncomeMax's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
A naive forecasting model for REX IncomeMax is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of REX IncomeMax Option value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

REX IncomeMax Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of REX IncomeMax Option on the next trading day is expected to be 13.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82, mean absolute percentage error of 0.96, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict REX Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that REX IncomeMax's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

REX IncomeMax Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest REX IncomeMaxREX IncomeMax Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

REX IncomeMax Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting REX IncomeMax's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. REX IncomeMax's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.28 and 18.52, respectively. We have considered REX IncomeMax's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.69
13.90
Expected Value
18.52
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of REX IncomeMax etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent REX IncomeMax etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria75.7996
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8202
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0476
SAESum of the absolute errors31.1657
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of REX IncomeMax Option. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict REX IncomeMax. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for REX IncomeMax

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as REX IncomeMax Option. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of REX IncomeMax's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6615.2819.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.5015.1219.74
Details

Other Forecasting Options for REX IncomeMax

For every potential investor in REX, whether a beginner or expert, REX IncomeMax's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. REX Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in REX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying REX IncomeMax's price trends.

REX IncomeMax Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with REX IncomeMax etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of REX IncomeMax could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing REX IncomeMax by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

REX IncomeMax Option Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of REX IncomeMax's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of REX IncomeMax's current price.

REX IncomeMax Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how REX IncomeMax etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading REX IncomeMax shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying REX IncomeMax etf market strength indicators, traders can identify REX IncomeMax Option entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

REX IncomeMax Risk Indicators

The analysis of REX IncomeMax's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in REX IncomeMax's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rex etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether REX IncomeMax Option offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of REX IncomeMax's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Rex Incomemax Option Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Rex Incomemax Option Etf:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of REX IncomeMax to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
The market value of REX IncomeMax Option is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of REX that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of REX IncomeMax's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is REX IncomeMax's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because REX IncomeMax's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect REX IncomeMax's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between REX IncomeMax's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if REX IncomeMax is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, REX IncomeMax's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.