UMAX Group Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| UMAX Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
UMAX Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of UMAX Group's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using UMAX Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of UMAX Group Corp from the perspective of UMAX Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of UMAX Group Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000254 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0002. UMAX Group after-hype prediction price | USD 1.08E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of UMAX Group to cross-verify your projections. UMAX Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine UMAX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for UMAX using various technical indicators. When you analyze UMAX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
UMAX Group Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of UMAX Group Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000254, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0002.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict UMAX Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that UMAX Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
UMAX Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest UMAX Group | UMAX Group Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
UMAX Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting UMAX Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. UMAX Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 6.30, respectively. We have considered UMAX Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of UMAX Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent UMAX Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 92.1597 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0254 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.0E-4 |
Predictive Modules for UMAX Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UMAX Group Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.UMAX Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of UMAX Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in UMAX Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of UMAX Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
UMAX Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting UMAX Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on UMAX Group's historical news coverage. UMAX Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 6.30, respectively. We have considered UMAX Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
UMAX Group is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of UMAX Group Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
UMAX Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as UMAX Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading UMAX Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with UMAX Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.79 | 6.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 8.45 |
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UMAX Group Hype Timeline
UMAX Group Corp is at this time traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. UMAX is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.08E-4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 8.45%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.79%. The volatility of related hype on UMAX Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.9755) % which means that it has lost $0.9755 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (2.3354) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. UMAX Group's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well UMAX Group manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Equity is likely to rise to 0.31 in 2026, despite the fact that Return On Tangible Assets are likely to grow to (0.22). Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to rise to 3.33 in 2026, whereas Total Assets are likely to drop slightly above 23.4 K in 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of UMAX Group to cross-verify your projections.UMAX Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to UMAX Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict UMAX Group's future price movements. Getting to know how UMAX Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how UMAX Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AHFD | Active Health Foods | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SPOI | SPO Networks | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 200.00 | |
| SMFX | SAM Trade Pte | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 200.00 | |
| MERR | Merriman Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SFIN | Safetek International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| EZTD | EZTD Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ITUP | Interups | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NVPLF | Nevaro Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| WSFGQ | WSB Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| QIAN | Qiansui International Group | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for UMAX Group
For every potential investor in UMAX, whether a beginner or expert, UMAX Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. UMAX Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in UMAX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying UMAX Group's price trends.UMAX Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with UMAX Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of UMAX Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing UMAX Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
UMAX Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how UMAX Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading UMAX Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying UMAX Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify UMAX Group Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
UMAX Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of UMAX Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in UMAX Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting umax stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.15 | |||
| Variance | 37.88 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for UMAX Group
The number of cover stories for UMAX Group depends on current market conditions and UMAX Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that UMAX Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about UMAX Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for UMAX Stock Analysis
When running UMAX Group's price analysis, check to measure UMAX Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UMAX Group is operating at the current time. Most of UMAX Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of UMAX Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UMAX Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of UMAX Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.