UMC Pink Sheet Forward View

UMC Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine UMC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for UMC using various technical indicators. When you analyze UMC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for UMC is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of UMC Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

UMC Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of UMC Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000031, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.29.

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of UMC pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent UMC pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of UMC Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict UMC. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for UMC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UMC Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.00 0.03 35.48 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.00 0.02 35.47 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 0 0.02 0.04 Details

UMC After-Hype Price Density Analysis

UMC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

UMC Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

UMC Hype Timeline

UMC Inc is at this time traded for 0.03. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. UMC is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.03 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 11.11%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 5.35%. The volatility of related hype on UMC is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.03. The company has a current ratio of 1.68, which is within standard range for the sector. Debt can assist UMC until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, UMC's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like UMC Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for UMC to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about UMC's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of UMC to cross-verify your projections.

UMC Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for UMC

For every potential investor in UMC, whether a beginner or expert, UMC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. UMC Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in UMC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying UMC's price trends.

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