Ultimate Lifestyle Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| UMLS Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ultimate Lifestyle Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Ultimate Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Ultimate Lifestyle's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.56) |
Using Ultimate Lifestyle hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ultimate Lifestyle Corp from the perspective of Ultimate Lifestyle response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ultimate Lifestyle Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Ultimate Lifestyle after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ultimate Lifestyle to cross-verify your projections. Ultimate Lifestyle Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ultimate price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ultimate using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ultimate charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Ultimate Lifestyle's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 2.1 M | Current Value 1.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 125.1 K |
Ultimate Lifestyle Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ultimate Lifestyle Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ultimate Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ultimate Lifestyle's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ultimate Lifestyle Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ultimate Lifestyle | Ultimate Lifestyle Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Ultimate Lifestyle Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ultimate Lifestyle's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ultimate Lifestyle's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Ultimate Lifestyle's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ultimate Lifestyle stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ultimate Lifestyle stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 30.385 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Ultimate Lifestyle
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ultimate Lifestyle Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ultimate Lifestyle After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ultimate Lifestyle at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ultimate Lifestyle or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ultimate Lifestyle, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ultimate Lifestyle Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ultimate Lifestyle's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ultimate Lifestyle's historical news coverage. Ultimate Lifestyle's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Ultimate Lifestyle's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ultimate Lifestyle is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ultimate Lifestyle Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ultimate Lifestyle Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ultimate Lifestyle is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ultimate Lifestyle backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ultimate Lifestyle, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
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Ultimate Lifestyle Hype Timeline
Ultimate Lifestyle Corp is at this time traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ultimate is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ultimate Lifestyle is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.17. Ultimate Lifestyle Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:1000 split on the 24th of March 2010. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ultimate Lifestyle to cross-verify your projections.Ultimate Lifestyle Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ultimate Lifestyle's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ultimate Lifestyle's future price movements. Getting to know how Ultimate Lifestyle's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ultimate Lifestyle may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ICNM | Icon Media Holdings | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
| TLGN | Totally Green | (0.0001) | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
| AXTG | Axis Technologies Group | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ATIN | ATI Nationwide Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MMMM | Mineral Mountain Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HAZH | HAZ Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ETEK | Eco Tek Group | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LOTE | Lot78 Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BTGN | Inolife Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KEGS | 1812 Brewing | (13.01) | 2 per month | 10.90 | (0) | 28.57 | (22.22) | 91.67 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ultimate Lifestyle
For every potential investor in Ultimate, whether a beginner or expert, Ultimate Lifestyle's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ultimate Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ultimate. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ultimate Lifestyle's price trends.Ultimate Lifestyle Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ultimate Lifestyle stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ultimate Lifestyle could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ultimate Lifestyle by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ultimate Lifestyle Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ultimate Lifestyle stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ultimate Lifestyle shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ultimate Lifestyle stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ultimate Lifestyle Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Story Coverage note for Ultimate Lifestyle
The number of cover stories for Ultimate Lifestyle depends on current market conditions and Ultimate Lifestyle's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ultimate Lifestyle is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ultimate Lifestyle's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Ultimate Stock Analysis
When running Ultimate Lifestyle's price analysis, check to measure Ultimate Lifestyle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ultimate Lifestyle is operating at the current time. Most of Ultimate Lifestyle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ultimate Lifestyle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ultimate Lifestyle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ultimate Lifestyle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.