Unico American Pink Sheet Forward View

UNAMDelisted Stock  USD 0.07  0.00  0.00%   
Unico Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now The relative strength index (RSI) of Unico American's share price is above 80 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 97

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Unico American's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Unico American and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Unico American's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Unico American, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Unico American hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Unico American from the perspective of Unico American response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Unico American on the next trading day is expected to be 0.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.15.

Unico American after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.07  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Unico American Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Unico price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Unico using various technical indicators. When you analyze Unico charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Unico American is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Unico American value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Unico American Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Unico American on the next trading day is expected to be 0.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000011, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.15.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Unico Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Unico American's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Unico American Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Unico American  Unico American Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Unico American pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Unico American pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.662
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0024
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0385
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1488
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Unico American. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Unico American. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Unico American

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Unico American. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.070.070.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.060.060.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.020.080.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Unico American. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Unico American's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Unico American's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Unico American.

Unico American After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Unico American at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Unico American or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Unico American, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Unico American Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Unico American's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Unico American's historical news coverage. Unico American's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 0.07, respectively. We have considered Unico American's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.07
0.07
After-hype Price
0.07
Upside
Unico American is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Unico American is based on 3 months time horizon.

Unico American Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Unico American is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Unico American backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Unico American, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.07
0.07
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Unico American Hype Timeline

Unico American is at this time traded for 0.07. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Unico is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Unico American is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.07. About 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.0. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Unico American recorded a loss per share of 2.43. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of November 2012. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be any time.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Unico American Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Unico American's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Unico American's future price movements. Getting to know how Unico American's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Unico American may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Unico American Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Unico American pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Unico American could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Unico American by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Unico American Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Unico American pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Unico American shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Unico American pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Unico American entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Unico American Risk Indicators

The analysis of Unico American's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Unico American's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting unico pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Unico American

The number of cover stories for Unico American depends on current market conditions and Unico American's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Unico American is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Unico American's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Unico American Short Properties

Unico American's future price predictability will typically decrease when Unico American's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Unico American often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Unico American's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Unico American's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments88.8 M
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

Other Consideration for investing in Unico Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Unico American check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Unico American's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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