UnitedHealth Group Stock Forward View - 8 Period Moving Average
| UNH Stock | USD 354.92 0.36 0.10% |
8 Period Moving Average is applied to UnitedHealth Group Incorporated's daily closing prices, and the resulting forecast is presented with accuracy metrics. Wide deviation between fitted and observed values suggests the model's assumptions may not match current market conditions. These values update automatically with each new closing price. The 8 Period Moving Average model projects UnitedHealth Group at 341.06 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. This 8 Period Moving Average output is provided as analytical reference and does not constitute a trading recommendation.
8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of April
Over a 90-day horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average model forecasts UnitedHealth Group at 341.06 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 10.92 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.04 , and sum of absolute errors of 589.82 .This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of UnitedHealth Group's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest UnitedHealth Group | UnitedHealth Group Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The projected range for UnitedHealth Group reflects the model's ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios for the next trading day. Downside is estimated near 337.67 and upside near 344.44. The narrow range indicates limited short-term dispersion.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 8 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for UnitedHealth Group stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.5708 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -5.9378 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 10.9226 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0359 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 589.8225 |
Other Forecasting Options for UnitedHealth Group
UnitedHealth Group's daily price returns decompose into trend, seasonal, and residual components. Divergence between short-term and long-term averages in UnitedHealth often signals an upcoming reversal or acceleration. Gap analysis of UnitedHealth Stock data examines overnight jumps between UnitedHealth Group's closing and opening prices.UnitedHealth Group Related Equities
Investors studying UnitedHealth Group often look at related stocks within the Health Care space to gauge pricing and results. Revenue and margin checks across this group help investors set expectations for UnitedHealth Group's results. Peer review is most informative when paired with absolute pricing and trend checks.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
UnitedHealth Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for UnitedHealth Group stock provide a framework for assessing security responsiveness. A rising Accumulation/Distribution line alongside rising price confirms institutional buying interest in UnitedHealth Group. Median and Typical Price smooth out intraday extremes, providing a cleaner reference level for evaluating UnitedHealth Group sessions.
UnitedHealth Group Risk Indicators
Assessing UnitedHealth Group's risk indicators is a structured way to evaluate the risk-return trade-off for unitedhealth stock. The level of risk embedded in UnitedHealth Group's feeds directly into exposure calibration. Comparing UnitedHealth Group's downside variance to total variance reveals whether the risk profile is skewed toward losses.
| Mean Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.86 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.31 | |||
| Variance | 10.98 | |||
| Downside Variance | 16.0 | |||
| Semi Variance | 14.87 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.88 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
UnitedHealth Group Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for UnitedHealth Group is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 910 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 28.1 B |