United Express Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| UNXP Stock | USD 1.10 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of United Express on the next trading day is expected to be 1.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.25. United Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of United Express' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using United Express hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of United Express from the perspective of United Express response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of United Express on the next trading day is expected to be 1.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.25. United Express after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
United |
United Express Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine United price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for United using various technical indicators. When you analyze United charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
United Express Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of United Express on the next trading day is expected to be 1.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0005, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.25.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict United Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that United Express' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
United Express Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest United Express | United Express Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
United Express Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting United Express' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. United Express' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 3.23, respectively. We have considered United Express' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of United Express pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent United Express pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.7518 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -8.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0042 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0036 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.25 |
Predictive Modules for United Express
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Express. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of United Express' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
United Express After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of United Express at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in United Express or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of United Express, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
United Express Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting United Express' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on United Express' historical news coverage. United Express' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 3.13, respectively. We have considered United Express' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
United Express is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United Express is based on 3 months time horizon.
United Express Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as United Express is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading United Express backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with United Express, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 2.13 | 0.10 | 0.01 | 1 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.10 | 1.00 | 9.09 |
|
United Express Hype Timeline
United Express is at this time traded for 1.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. United is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.0. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -9.09%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on United Express is about 1972.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.09. About 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.0. United Express had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of United Express to cross-verify your projections.United Express Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to United Express' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict United Express' future price movements. Getting to know how United Express' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how United Express may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CVAT | Cavitation Techs | (1.07) | 14 per month | 7.65 | (0.01) | 25.00 | (20.00) | 57.50 | |
| NXTN | Next10 Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.37 | 0.18 | 12.36 | (2.38) | 32.23 | |
| TOOD | Thermwood | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FBRKF | FBR Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 16.99 | 0.14 | 53.33 | (34.88) | 258.46 | |
| IAALF | IBC Advanced Alloys | (0.13) | 12 per month | 3.85 | 0.09 | 9.09 | (7.69) | 47.62 | |
| TIMNF | Timminco Limited | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MRCR | Moro Corp | (3.35) | 2 per month | 2.28 | 0.09 | 5.08 | (5.44) | 64.26 | |
| COLDF | Cardno Limited | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| OLNCF | Omni Lite Industries Canada | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 6.35 | (6.67) | 20.44 | |
| BRRN | Born Inc | 3.47 | 10 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.95 | 0.00 | 32.03 |
Other Forecasting Options for United Express
For every potential investor in United, whether a beginner or expert, United Express' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. United Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in United. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying United Express' price trends.United Express Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with United Express pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of United Express could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing United Express by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
United Express Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how United Express pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading United Express shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying United Express pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify United Express entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
United Express Risk Indicators
The analysis of United Express' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in United Express' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting united pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.18 | |||
| Variance | 38.14 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for United Express
The number of cover stories for United Express depends on current market conditions and United Express' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that United Express is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about United Express' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
United Express Short Properties
United Express' future price predictability will typically decrease when United Express' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of United Express often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential United Express' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Express' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.6 M | |
| Shares Float | 1.6 M |
Additional Tools for United Pink Sheet Analysis
When running United Express' price analysis, check to measure United Express' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Express is operating at the current time. Most of United Express' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Express' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Express' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Express to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.