Wheels Up Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| UP Stock | USD 0.63 0.06 8.70% |
Wheels Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Wheels Up's share price is approaching 40. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Wheels Up, making its price go up or down. Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Wheels Up hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wheels Up Experience from the perspective of Wheels Up response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Wheels Up Experience on the next trading day is expected to be 0.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.40. Wheels Up after-hype prediction price | USD 0.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wheels Up to cross-verify your projections. Wheels Up Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Wheels price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wheels using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wheels charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Wheels Up Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Wheels Up Experience on the next trading day is expected to be 0.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.40.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wheels Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wheels Up's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Wheels Up Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Wheels Up | Wheels Up Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Wheels Up Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Wheels Up's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wheels Up's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 10.03, respectively. We have considered Wheels Up's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wheels Up stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wheels Up stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.1466 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0107 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0567 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0677 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.4 |
Predictive Modules for Wheels Up
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wheels Up Experience. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Wheels Up After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Wheels Up at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Wheels Up or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Wheels Up, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Wheels Up Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Wheels Up's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Wheels Up's historical news coverage. Wheels Up's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 10.03, respectively. We have considered Wheels Up's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Wheels Up is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wheels Up Experience is based on 3 months time horizon.
Wheels Up Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Wheels Up is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wheels Up backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Wheels Up, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.77 | 9.40 | 0.00 | 0.45 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.63 | 0.63 | 0.00 |
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Wheels Up Hype Timeline
As of February 1, 2026 Wheels Up Experience is listed for 0.63. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.45. Wheels is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.77%. %. The volatility of related hype on Wheels Up is about 1617.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.08. About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.51. Wheels Up Experience had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 8th of June 2023. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wheels Up to cross-verify your projections.Wheels Up Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Wheels Up's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Wheels Up's future price movements. Getting to know how Wheels Up's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Wheels Up may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ULCC | Frontier Group Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.26 | 0.10 | 7.54 | (5.87) | 19.12 | |
| ALGT | Allegiant Travel | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.34 | 0.14 | 5.92 | (4.61) | 31.33 | |
| WLFC | Willis Lease Finance | 5.82 | 8 per month | 2.33 | 0.18 | 5.67 | (3.93) | 11.05 | |
| VLRS | Volaris | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.63 | 0.19 | 6.58 | (3.04) | 19.39 | |
| HTZ | Hertz Global Holdings | (0.03) | 9 per month | 3.35 | 0 | 7.63 | (5.46) | 43.57 | |
| RDW | Redwire Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.06 | 0.14 | 13.96 | (8.57) | 37.84 | |
| ERII | Energy Recovery | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.15 | (2.98) | 21.23 | |
| NVRI | Enviri | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.19 | 3.94 | (1.59) | 30.32 | |
| GSL | Global Ship Lease | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.04 | 0.15 | 2.52 | (2.24) | 12.98 | |
| SNCY | Sun Country Airlines | 0.02 | 8 per month | 1.87 | 0.21 | 6.22 | (4.25) | 13.97 |
Other Forecasting Options for Wheels Up
For every potential investor in Wheels, whether a beginner or expert, Wheels Up's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wheels Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wheels. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wheels Up's price trends.Wheels Up Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wheels Up stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wheels Up could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wheels Up by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Wheels Up Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wheels Up stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wheels Up shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wheels Up stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Wheels Up Experience entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Wheels Up Risk Indicators
The analysis of Wheels Up's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wheels Up's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wheels stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.55 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.4 | |||
| Variance | 88.37 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Wheels Up
The number of cover stories for Wheels Up depends on current market conditions and Wheels Up's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Wheels Up is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Wheels Up's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Wheels Up Short Properties
Wheels Up's future price predictability will typically decrease when Wheels Up's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Wheels Up Experience often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Wheels Up's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wheels Up's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 697.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 216.4 M |
Additional Tools for Wheels Stock Analysis
When running Wheels Up's price analysis, check to measure Wheels Up's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wheels Up is operating at the current time. Most of Wheels Up's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wheels Up's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wheels Up's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wheels Up to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.