UPAY OTC Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| UPYY Stock | USD 1.20 0.01 0.83% |
UPAY OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of UPAY's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate signals. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of UPAY based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using UPAY hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of UPAY Inc from the perspective of UPAY response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of UPAY Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.53. UPAY after-hype prediction price | USD 1.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
UPAY |
UPAY Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine UPAY price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for UPAY using various technical indicators. When you analyze UPAY charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
UPAY Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 9th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of UPAY Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.53.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict UPAY OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that UPAY's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
UPAY OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest UPAY | UPAY Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
UPAY Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting UPAY's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. UPAY's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 16.16, respectively. We have considered UPAY's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of UPAY otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent UPAY otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.2877 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0056 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0598 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0432 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.53 |
Predictive Modules for UPAY
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UPAY Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of UPAY's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
UPAY After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of UPAY at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in UPAY or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of UPAY, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
UPAY Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting UPAY's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on UPAY's historical news coverage. UPAY's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 16.28, respectively. We have considered UPAY's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
UPAY is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of UPAY Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
UPAY OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as UPAY is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading UPAY backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with UPAY, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.19 | 14.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.20 | 1.20 | 0.00 |
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UPAY Hype Timeline
UPAY Inc is at this time traded for 1.20. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. UPAY is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on UPAY is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.20. About 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. UPAY Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of UPAY to cross-verify your projections.UPAY Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to UPAY's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict UPAY's future price movements. Getting to know how UPAY's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how UPAY may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PWWBF | PowerBand Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 13.22 | 0.07 | 46.90 | (24.22) | 95.15 | |
| SYPT | Scrypt Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IMNTF | IMINT Image Intelligence | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GAMGF | Gamelancer Gaming Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| STEEF | Steer Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CIERF | CHIeru CoLtd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.11 | |
| POTTF | Buddy Technologies Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LSPKF | LifeSpeak | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.93 | |
| NXTBF | NEXT Biometrics Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GGAMF | Good Gamer Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for UPAY
For every potential investor in UPAY, whether a beginner or expert, UPAY's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. UPAY OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in UPAY. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying UPAY's price trends.UPAY Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with UPAY otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of UPAY could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing UPAY by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
UPAY Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how UPAY otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading UPAY shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying UPAY otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify UPAY Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.2 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.2 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) |
UPAY Risk Indicators
The analysis of UPAY's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in UPAY's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting upay otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 14.82 | |||
| Variance | 219.72 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for UPAY
The number of cover stories for UPAY depends on current market conditions and UPAY's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that UPAY is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about UPAY's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for UPAY OTC Stock Analysis
When running UPAY's price analysis, check to measure UPAY's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UPAY is operating at the current time. Most of UPAY's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of UPAY's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UPAY's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of UPAY to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.