Sprott Uranium Etf Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| URNM Etf | USD 81.10 2.89 3.44% |
Sprott Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength momentum indicator of Sprott Uranium's etf price is about 69. This usually implies that the etf is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sprott, making its price go up or down. Momentum 69
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Sprott Uranium hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sprott Uranium Miners from the perspective of Sprott Uranium response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sprott Uranium using Sprott Uranium's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sprott using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sprott Uranium's stock price.
Sprott Uranium Implied Volatility | 0.52 |
Sprott Uranium's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sprott Uranium Miners stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sprott Uranium's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sprott Uranium stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sprott Uranium's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sprott Uranium Miners on the next trading day is expected to be 82.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 101.66. Sprott Uranium after-hype prediction price | USD 76.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sprott Uranium to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sprott contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sprott Uranium Miners will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0325% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Sprott Uranium trading at USD 81.1, that is roughly USD 0.0264 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sprott Uranium's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sprott Uranium Miners options at the current volatility level of 0.52%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Sprott Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sprott Uranium's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sprott Uranium's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sprott Uranium stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sprott Uranium's open interest, investors have to compare it to Sprott Uranium's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sprott Uranium is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sprott. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Sprott Uranium Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sprott price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sprott using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sprott charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sprott Uranium Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sprott Uranium Miners on the next trading day is expected to be 82.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.72, mean absolute percentage error of 5.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 101.66.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sprott Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sprott Uranium's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sprott Uranium Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sprott Uranium | Sprott Uranium Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Sprott Uranium Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sprott Uranium's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sprott Uranium's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 79.19 and 85.90, respectively. We have considered Sprott Uranium's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sprott Uranium etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sprott Uranium etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.0923 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.5623 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.7231 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0286 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 101.665 |
Predictive Modules for Sprott Uranium
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sprott Uranium Miners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sprott Uranium After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sprott Uranium at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sprott Uranium or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Sprott Uranium, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sprott Uranium Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sprott Uranium's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sprott Uranium's historical news coverage. Sprott Uranium's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 73.02 and 79.74, respectively. We have considered Sprott Uranium's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sprott Uranium is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sprott Uranium Miners is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sprott Uranium Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Sprott Uranium is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sprott Uranium backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sprott Uranium, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 3.36 | 0.59 | 0.12 | 4 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
81.10 | 76.38 | 0.77 |
|
Sprott Uranium Hype Timeline
Sprott Uranium Miners is at this time traded for 81.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.59, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.12. Sprott is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 76.38. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.77%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.4%. The volatility of related hype on Sprott Uranium is about 1116.28%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 80.98. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sprott Uranium to cross-verify your projections.Sprott Uranium Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sprott Uranium's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sprott Uranium's future price movements. Getting to know how Sprott Uranium's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sprott Uranium may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BSVO | EA Bridgeway Omni | (0.12) | 1 per month | 0.68 | 0.10 | 2.26 | (1.51) | 5.46 | |
| DGS | WisdomTree Emerging Markets | 0.07 | 3 per month | 0.40 | 0.14 | 1.06 | (1.02) | 2.33 | |
| PXH | Invesco FTSE RAFI | (0.28) | 3 per month | 0.39 | 0.13 | 1.44 | (0.99) | 3.02 | |
| FLQM | Franklin LibertyQ Mid | 0.17 | 5 per month | 0.69 | (0.05) | 1.39 | (1.05) | 4.04 | |
| FXU | First Trust Utilities | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.81 | (0.09) | 1.03 | (1.21) | 3.28 | |
| EWA | iShares MSCI Australia | (0.12) | 6 per month | 0.80 | 0.01 | 1.39 | (1.37) | 3.80 | |
| FSMD | Fidelity Small Mid Factor | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.71 | (0.0008) | 1.73 | (1.28) | 3.76 | |
| SMMD | iShares Russell 2500 | (0.02) | 4 per month | 0.85 | 0.04 | 1.64 | (1.56) | 3.71 | |
| WTV | WisdomTree Trust | (1.27) | 1 per month | 0.56 | (0.02) | 1.44 | (1.13) | 3.47 | |
| XHB | SPDR SP Homebuilders | (1.43) | 3 per month | 1.13 | (0.03) | 3.73 | (1.99) | 7.51 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sprott Uranium
For every potential investor in Sprott, whether a beginner or expert, Sprott Uranium's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sprott Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sprott. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sprott Uranium's price trends.Sprott Uranium Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sprott Uranium etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sprott Uranium could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sprott Uranium by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sprott Uranium Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sprott Uranium etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sprott Uranium shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sprott Uranium etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Sprott Uranium Miners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sprott Uranium Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sprott Uranium's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sprott Uranium's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sprott etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.49 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.37 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.31 | |||
| Variance | 10.95 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.19 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.59 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.79) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sprott Uranium
The number of cover stories for Sprott Uranium depends on current market conditions and Sprott Uranium's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sprott Uranium is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sprott Uranium's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sprott Uranium to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Understanding Sprott Uranium Miners requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Sprott's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Sprott Uranium's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Sprott Uranium's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sprott Uranium's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sprott Uranium is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Sprott Uranium's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.