ENTERPRISE Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

29379VBY8   75.73  1.71  2.31%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS OPERATING on the next trading day is expected to be 75.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.95. ENTERPRISE Bond Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast ENTERPRISE stock prices and determine the direction of ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS OPERATING's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ENTERPRISE's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for ENTERPRISE - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When ENTERPRISE prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in ENTERPRISE price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS.

ENTERPRISE Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS OPERATING on the next trading day is expected to be 75.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.83, mean absolute percentage error of 1.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.95.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ENTERPRISE Bond prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ENTERPRISE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ENTERPRISE Bond Forecast Pattern

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ENTERPRISE Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ENTERPRISE's Bond value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ENTERPRISE's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 74.18 and 75.88, respectively. We have considered ENTERPRISE's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
75.73
75.03
Expected Value
75.88
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ENTERPRISE bond data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ENTERPRISE bond, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.212
MADMean absolute deviation0.8325
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.011
SAESum of the absolute errors49.9484
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past ENTERPRISE observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS OPERATING observations.

Predictive Modules for ENTERPRISE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
74.8875.7376.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.6775.5276.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
69.0474.1979.34
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ENTERPRISE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ENTERPRISE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ENTERPRISE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS.

Other Forecasting Options for ENTERPRISE

For every potential investor in ENTERPRISE, whether a beginner or expert, ENTERPRISE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ENTERPRISE Bond price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ENTERPRISE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ENTERPRISE's price trends.

ENTERPRISE Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ENTERPRISE bond to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ENTERPRISE could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ENTERPRISE by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS Technical and Predictive Analytics

The bond market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ENTERPRISE's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ENTERPRISE's current price.

ENTERPRISE Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ENTERPRISE bond reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ENTERPRISE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ENTERPRISE bond market strength indicators, traders can identify ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS OPERATING entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ENTERPRISE Risk Indicators

The analysis of ENTERPRISE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ENTERPRISE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting enterprise bond prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios. One of the essential factors to consider when estimating the risk of default for a bond instrument is its duration, which is the bond's price sensitivity to changes in interest rates. The duration of ENTERPRISE PRODUCTS OPERATING bond is primarily affected by its yield, coupon rate, and time to maturity. The duration of a bond will be higher the lower its coupon, lower its yield, and longer the time left to maturity.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in ENTERPRISE Bond

ENTERPRISE financial ratios help investors to determine whether ENTERPRISE Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ENTERPRISE with respect to the benefits of owning ENTERPRISE security.