50249AAG8 Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

A four-period moving average forecast model for LYB 225 01 OCT 30 is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

50249AAG8 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of LYB 225 01 OCT 30 on the next trading day is expected to be 85.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63, mean absolute percentage error of 1.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.48.

50249AAG8 Bond Forecast Pattern

50249AAG8 Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 50249AAG8 bond data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 50249AAG8 bond, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of 50249AAG8. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for LYB 225 01 OCT 30 and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for 50249AAG8

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LYB 225 01. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 86.76 87.34 87.92 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 85.55 86.13 96.07 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 80.59 84.77 88.94 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 50249AAG8. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 50249AAG8's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 50249AAG8's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LYB 225 01.

Other Forecasting Options for 50249AAG8

For every potential investor in 50249AAG8, whether a beginner or expert, 50249AAG8's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 50249AAG8 Bond price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 50249AAG8. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 50249AAG8's price trends.

50249AAG8 Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

LYB 225 01 Technical and Predictive Analytics

The bond market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of 50249AAG8's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of 50249AAG8's current price.

50249AAG8 Market Strength Events

50249AAG8 Risk Indicators

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 50249AAG8 Bond