84859DAA5 Forecast - Naive Prediction
| 84859DAA5 | 67.20 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SR 33 01 JUN 51 on the next trading day is expected to be 68.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 65.75. 84859DAA5 Bond Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast 84859DAA5 stock prices and determine the direction of SR 33 01 JUN 51's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of 84859DAA5's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
84859DAA5 |
84859DAA5 Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of SR 33 01 JUN 51 on the next trading day is expected to be 68.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.06, mean absolute percentage error of 1.90, and the sum of the absolute errors of 65.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 84859DAA5 Bond prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 84859DAA5's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
84859DAA5 Bond Forecast Pattern
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 84859DAA5 bond data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 84859DAA5 bond, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.5883 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0605 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0152 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 65.7541 |
Predictive Modules for 84859DAA5
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 84859DAA5. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.84859DAA5 Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 84859DAA5 bond to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 84859DAA5 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 84859DAA5 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
84859DAA5 Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 84859DAA5 bond reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 84859DAA5 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 84859DAA5 bond market strength indicators, traders can identify SR 33 01 JUN 51 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in 84859DAA5 Bond
84859DAA5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 84859DAA5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 84859DAA5 with respect to the benefits of owning 84859DAA5 security.