Us Global Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Us Global Nanospace on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. USGA Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Us Global stock prices and determine the direction of Us Global Nanospace's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Us Global's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Us Global's Other Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Inventory is expected to grow to 5,312, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 145.1 K.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Us Global works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Us Global Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Us Global Nanospace on the next trading day is expected to be 0.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict USGA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Us Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Us Global Stock Forecast Pattern

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Us Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Us Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Us Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Us Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.00
0.00
Expected Value
0.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Us Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Us Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
When Us Global Nanospace prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Us Global Nanospace trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Us Global observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Us Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Us Global Nanospace. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Us Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Us Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Us Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Us Global Nanospace.

Other Forecasting Options for Us Global

For every potential investor in USGA, whether a beginner or expert, Us Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. USGA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in USGA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Us Global's price trends.

Us Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Us Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Us Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Us Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Us Global Nanospace Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Us Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Us Global's current price.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Us Global Nanospace offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Us Global's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Us Global Nanospace Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Us Global Nanospace Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Us Global to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Specialty Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Us Global. If investors know USGA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Us Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Revenue Per Share
0.002
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.147
Return On Assets
(9.36)
The market value of Us Global Nanospace is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of USGA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Us Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Us Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Us Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Us Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Us Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Us Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Us Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.