Union Street Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

USPFX Fund  USD 34.01  0.13  0.38%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Union Street Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 33.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.94. Union Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Union Street's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the mutual fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Union Street's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Union Street Partners, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Union Street hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Union Street Partners from the perspective of Union Street response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Union Street Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 33.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.94.

Union Street after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 34.01  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Union Street to cross-verify your projections.

Union Street Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Union price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Union using various technical indicators. When you analyze Union charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Union Street price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Union Street Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Union Street Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 33.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49, mean absolute percentage error of 0.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.94.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Union Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Union Street's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Union Street Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Union Street Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Union Street's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Union Street's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 33.03 and 34.68, respectively. We have considered Union Street's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
34.01
33.86
Expected Value
34.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Union Street mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Union Street mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.1242
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4908
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0151
SAESum of the absolute errors29.937
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Union Street Partners historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Union Street

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Union Street Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.1934.0134.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.8533.6734.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
31.3533.2535.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Union Street. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Union Street's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Union Street's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Union Street Partners.

Other Forecasting Options for Union Street

For every potential investor in Union, whether a beginner or expert, Union Street's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Union Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Union. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Union Street's price trends.

Union Street Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Union Street mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Union Street could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Union Street by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Union Street Partners Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Union Street's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Union Street's current price.

Union Street Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Union Street mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Union Street shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Union Street mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Union Street Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Union Street Risk Indicators

The analysis of Union Street's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Union Street's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting union mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Union Mutual Fund

Union Street financial ratios help investors to determine whether Union Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Union with respect to the benefits of owning Union Street security.
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