United Paper Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

UTP Stock  THB 7.60  0.10  1.33%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of United Paper Public on the next trading day is expected to be 7.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.12. United Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the value of rsi of United Paper's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of United Paper's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with United Paper Public, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using United Paper hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of United Paper Public from the perspective of United Paper response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of United Paper Public on the next trading day is expected to be 7.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.12.

United Paper after-hype prediction price

    
  THB 7.6  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of United Paper to cross-verify your projections.

United Paper Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine United price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for United using various technical indicators. When you analyze United charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through United Paper price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

United Paper Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 22nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of United Paper Public on the next trading day is expected to be 7.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict United Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that United Paper's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

United Paper Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest United PaperUnited Paper Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

United Paper Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting United Paper's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. United Paper's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.71 and 8.15, respectively. We have considered United Paper's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.60
7.43
Expected Value
8.15
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of United Paper stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent United Paper stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.3771
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0503
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0067
SAESum of the absolute errors3.1165
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as United Paper Public historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for United Paper

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Paper Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.887.608.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.877.598.31
Details

Other Forecasting Options for United Paper

For every potential investor in United, whether a beginner or expert, United Paper's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. United Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in United. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying United Paper's price trends.

United Paper Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with United Paper stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of United Paper could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing United Paper by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

United Paper Public Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of United Paper's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of United Paper's current price.

United Paper Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how United Paper stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading United Paper shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying United Paper stock market strength indicators, traders can identify United Paper Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

United Paper Risk Indicators

The analysis of United Paper's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in United Paper's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting united stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in United Stock

United Paper financial ratios help investors to determine whether United Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in United with respect to the benefits of owning United Paper security.