Vado Corp Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| VADP Stock | USD 0 0.00 0.00% |
Vado Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Vado Corp's share price is below 20 . This entails that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Vado Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vado Corp from the perspective of Vado Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vado Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. Vado Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 0.001132 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Vado |
Vado Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vado price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vado using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vado charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Vado Corp Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vado Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000163, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vado Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vado Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Vado Corp Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Vado Corp | Vado Corp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Vado Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Vado Corp's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vado Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000011 and 11.43, respectively. We have considered Vado Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vado Corp pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vado Corp pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 102.9478 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 2.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.15 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0099 |
Predictive Modules for Vado Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vado Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vado Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vado Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vado Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vado Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Vado Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vado Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vado Corp's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vado Corp's historical news coverage. Vado Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 11.34, respectively. We have considered Vado Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vado Corp is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vado Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vado Corp Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vado Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vado Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vado Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.45 | 11.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0 | 0 | 2.93 |
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Vado Corp Hype Timeline
Vado Corp is at this time traded for 0. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Vado is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.001132 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price gain on the next news is estimated to be 2.93%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -1.45%. The volatility of related hype on Vado Corp is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vado Corp to cross-verify your projections.Vado Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vado Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vado Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Vado Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vado Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WNFT | Goff Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.86 | 0.0006 | 17.07 | (12.50) | 55.32 | |
| ARVY | Alliance Recovery | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.33 | |
| SIPN | SIPP International Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FUNR | FUNR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 20.80 | 0.13 | 50.00 | (33.33) | 233.33 | |
| TGGI | Trans Global Grp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | |
| FWFW | Flywheel Advanced Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.17 | (5.88) | 114.60 | |
| GGAAF | Genesis Growth Tech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SVAD | Silverton Adventures | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 83.33 | |
| INOQ | TPT Strategic | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PLPL | Plandai Biotech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Vado Corp
For every potential investor in Vado, whether a beginner or expert, Vado Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vado Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vado. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vado Corp's price trends.Vado Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vado Corp pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vado Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vado Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Vado Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vado Corp pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vado Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vado Corp pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Vado Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0011 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0011 |
Vado Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Vado Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vado Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vado pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 11.08 | |||
| Variance | 122.73 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Vado Corp
The number of cover stories for Vado Corp depends on current market conditions and Vado Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vado Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vado Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Vado Corp Short Properties
Vado Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vado Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vado Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vado Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vado Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 57.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 73.3 K |
Additional Tools for Vado Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Vado Corp's price analysis, check to measure Vado Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vado Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Vado Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vado Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vado Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vado Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.