Value8 NV Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| VALUE Stock | EUR 6.80 0.05 0.73% |
Value8 Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Value8 NV stock prices and determine the direction of Value8 NV's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Value8 NV's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Value8 NV's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.32) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) |
Using Value8 NV hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Value8 NV from the perspective of Value8 NV response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Value8 NV on the next trading day is expected to be 6.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.72. Value8 NV after-hype prediction price | EUR 6.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Value8 |
Value8 NV Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Value8 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Value8 using various technical indicators. When you analyze Value8 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Value8 NV Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Value8 NV on the next trading day is expected to be 6.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.72.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Value8 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Value8 NV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Value8 NV Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Value8 NV | Value8 NV Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Value8 NV Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Value8 NV's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Value8 NV's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.30 and 8.41, respectively. We have considered Value8 NV's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Value8 NV stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Value8 NV stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.02 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0787 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0118 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.72 |
Predictive Modules for Value8 NV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Value8 NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Value8 NV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Value8 NV After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Value8 NV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Value8 NV or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Value8 NV, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Value8 NV Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Value8 NV's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Value8 NV's historical news coverage. Value8 NV's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.25 and 8.35, respectively. We have considered Value8 NV's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Value8 NV is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Value8 NV is based on 3 months time horizon.
Value8 NV Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Value8 NV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Value8 NV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Value8 NV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 1.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.80 | 6.80 | 0.00 |
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Value8 NV Hype Timeline
Value8 NV is at this time traded for 6.80on Euronext Amsterdam of Netherlands. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Value8 is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Value8 NV is about 140.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.80. About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.61. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Value8 NV last dividend was issued on the 7th of July 2025. The entity had 21:20 split on the 17th of June 2016. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Value8 NV to cross-verify your projections.Value8 NV Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Value8 NV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Value8 NV's future price movements. Getting to know how Value8 NV's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Value8 NV may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ECT | Eurocastle Investment | 2.20 | 3 per month | 4.11 | 0.06 | 10.00 | (8.78) | 41.84 | |
| LVIDE | Lavide Holding NV | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.08 | (3.92) | 8.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Value8 NV
For every potential investor in Value8, whether a beginner or expert, Value8 NV's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Value8 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Value8. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Value8 NV's price trends.Value8 NV Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Value8 NV stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Value8 NV could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Value8 NV by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Value8 NV Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Value8 NV stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Value8 NV shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Value8 NV stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Value8 NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Value8 NV Risk Indicators
The analysis of Value8 NV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Value8 NV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting value8 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Variance | 2.32 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.47 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.47 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.52) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Value8 NV
The number of cover stories for Value8 NV depends on current market conditions and Value8 NV's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Value8 NV is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Value8 NV's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Value8 NV Short Properties
Value8 NV's future price predictability will typically decrease when Value8 NV's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Value8 NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Value8 NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Value8 NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.6 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 35.4 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.2 |
Other Information on Investing in Value8 Stock
Value8 NV financial ratios help investors to determine whether Value8 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Value8 with respect to the benefits of owning Value8 NV security.