Shengkai Innovations Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

VALV Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Shengkai Innovations on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000254 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0002. Shengkai Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Shengkai Innovations is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Shengkai Innovations Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Shengkai Innovations on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000254, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0002.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shengkai Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shengkai Innovations' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shengkai Innovations Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Shengkai Innovations Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Shengkai Innovations' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shengkai Innovations' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 124.03, respectively. We have considered Shengkai Innovations' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.000001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
124.03
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shengkai Innovations pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shengkai Innovations pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria92.1597
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors2.0E-4
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Shengkai Innovations price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Shengkai Innovations. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Shengkai Innovations

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shengkai Innovations. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000150.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00006350.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.0000850.0000850.000085
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Shengkai Innovations

For every potential investor in Shengkai, whether a beginner or expert, Shengkai Innovations' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shengkai Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shengkai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shengkai Innovations' price trends.

Shengkai Innovations Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shengkai Innovations pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shengkai Innovations could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shengkai Innovations by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shengkai Innovations Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shengkai Innovations' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shengkai Innovations' current price.

Shengkai Innovations Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shengkai Innovations pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shengkai Innovations shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shengkai Innovations pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Shengkai Innovations entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Shengkai Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Shengkai Innovations' price analysis, check to measure Shengkai Innovations' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shengkai Innovations is operating at the current time. Most of Shengkai Innovations' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shengkai Innovations' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shengkai Innovations' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shengkai Innovations to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.