VANTIVA SA Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| VANTI Stock | 0.12 0.01 9.09% |
VANTIVA Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of VANTIVA SA's share price is at 52. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling VANTIVA SA, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using VANTIVA SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VANTIVA SA from the perspective of VANTIVA SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of VANTIVA SA on the next trading day is expected to be 0.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.17. VANTIVA SA after-hype prediction price | EUR 0.12 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
VANTIVA |
VANTIVA SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine VANTIVA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VANTIVA using various technical indicators. When you analyze VANTIVA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
VANTIVA SA Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of VANTIVA SA on the next trading day is expected to be 0.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000043, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VANTIVA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VANTIVA SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
VANTIVA SA Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest VANTIVA SA | VANTIVA SA Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
VANTIVA SA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting VANTIVA SA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VANTIVA SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.14, respectively. We have considered VANTIVA SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VANTIVA SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VANTIVA SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.2212 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 3.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0028 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0248 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.1668 |
Predictive Modules for VANTIVA SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VANTIVA SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VANTIVA SA After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of VANTIVA SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VANTIVA SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of VANTIVA SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
VANTIVA SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting VANTIVA SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VANTIVA SA's historical news coverage. VANTIVA SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 5.14, respectively. We have considered VANTIVA SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
VANTIVA SA is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VANTIVA SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
VANTIVA SA Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as VANTIVA SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VANTIVA SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VANTIVA SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 5.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.12 | 0.12 | 0.00 |
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VANTIVA SA Hype Timeline
VANTIVA SA is at this time traded for 0.12on Euronext Paris of France. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. VANTIVA is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on VANTIVA SA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.12. About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.27. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. VANTIVA SA recorded a loss per share of 0.46. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of June 2017. The firm had 1:27 split on the 12th of May 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VANTIVA SA to cross-verify your projections.VANTIVA SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to VANTIVA SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VANTIVA SA's future price movements. Getting to know how VANTIVA SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VANTIVA SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALATA | Atari SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.69 | |
| ALPHI | Facephi Biometria SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.17 | (5.36) | 17.00 | |
| ATEME | ATEME SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.13 | 0.09 | 4.57 | (2.92) | 25.80 | |
| ALHYP | Hipay Group SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 5.32 | (6.23) | 14.32 | |
| ALWEC | WeConnect | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.32 | 0.10 | 3.60 | (2.37) | 8.38 | |
| ALRIB | Riber SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.61 | 0.23 | 9.44 | (2.75) | 27.82 | |
| GUI | Guillemot SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.23 | (3.93) | 9.18 | |
| ALLDL | Groupe LDLC SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.32 | 0.15 | 7.24 | (3.59) | 23.18 | |
| LACR | Lacroix Group SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.77 | 0.05 | 5.04 | (2.07) | 15.63 | |
| ALICA | Icape Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.37 | (4.46) | 14.68 |
Other Forecasting Options for VANTIVA SA
For every potential investor in VANTIVA, whether a beginner or expert, VANTIVA SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VANTIVA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VANTIVA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VANTIVA SA's price trends.VANTIVA SA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VANTIVA SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VANTIVA SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VANTIVA SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
VANTIVA SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VANTIVA SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VANTIVA SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VANTIVA SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify VANTIVA SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
VANTIVA SA Risk Indicators
The analysis of VANTIVA SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VANTIVA SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vantiva stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.87 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.82 | |||
| Variance | 23.23 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for VANTIVA SA
The number of cover stories for VANTIVA SA depends on current market conditions and VANTIVA SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that VANTIVA SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about VANTIVA SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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VANTIVA SA Short Properties
VANTIVA SA's future price predictability will typically decrease when VANTIVA SA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of VANTIVA SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential VANTIVA SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VANTIVA SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 235.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 222 M |
Additional Tools for VANTIVA Stock Analysis
When running VANTIVA SA's price analysis, check to measure VANTIVA SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VANTIVA SA is operating at the current time. Most of VANTIVA SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VANTIVA SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VANTIVA SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VANTIVA SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.