Foreign Value Mutual Fund Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing

Foreign Value Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Foreign price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Foreign using various technical indicators. When you analyze Foreign charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Foreign Value works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Foreign Value Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Foreign Value Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 14.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.48.

Foreign Value Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Foreign Value

Foreign Value Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Foreign Value Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Foreign Value mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Foreign Value mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. When Foreign Value Fund prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Foreign Value Fund trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Foreign Value observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Foreign Value

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Foreign Value. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 13.78 14.46 15.14 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 13.03 15.47 16.15 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 12.57 13.52 14.48 Details

Foreign Value After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Foreign Value Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Foreign Value Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Foreign Value Hype Timeline

Foreign Value is at this time traded for 14.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.82. Foreign is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 14.46. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Foreign Value is about 18.98%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.30. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.02. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Foreign Value last dividend was issued on the 10th of March 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Foreign Value to cross-verify your projections.

Foreign Value Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Foreign Value

For every potential investor in Foreign, whether a beginner or expert, Foreign Value's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Foreign Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Foreign. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Foreign Value's price trends.

Foreign Value Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Foreign Value Market Strength Events

Foreign Value Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Foreign Value

Other Macroaxis Stories

Other Information on Investing in Foreign Mutual Fund