Vanguard Multifactor Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

VFMF Etf  USD 155.85  0.27  0.17%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vanguard Multifactor on the next trading day is expected to be 155.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.63. Vanguard Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Vanguard Multifactor's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 10th of January 2026 the relative strength momentum indicator of Vanguard Multifactor's share price is below 20 . This entails that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Vanguard Multifactor's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Vanguard Multifactor and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Vanguard Multifactor's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vanguard Multifactor, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Vanguard Multifactor hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vanguard Multifactor from the perspective of Vanguard Multifactor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vanguard Multifactor using Vanguard Multifactor's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vanguard using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vanguard Multifactor's stock price.

Vanguard Multifactor Implied Volatility

    
  0.16  
Vanguard Multifactor's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vanguard Multifactor stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vanguard Multifactor's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vanguard Multifactor stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vanguard Multifactor's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vanguard Multifactor on the next trading day is expected to be 155.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.63.

Vanguard Multifactor after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 155.85  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vanguard Multifactor to cross-verify your projections.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Vanguard Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Vanguard Multifactor's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Vanguard Multifactor's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Vanguard Multifactor stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Vanguard Multifactor's open interest, investors have to compare it to Vanguard Multifactor's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Vanguard Multifactor is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Vanguard. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Vanguard Multifactor Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Vanguard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vanguard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vanguard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Vanguard Multifactor simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Vanguard Multifactor are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Vanguard Multifactor prices get older.

Vanguard Multifactor Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 11th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vanguard Multifactor on the next trading day is expected to be 155.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.94, mean absolute percentage error of 1.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vanguard Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vanguard Multifactor's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Vanguard Multifactor Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest Vanguard MultifactorVanguard Multifactor Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Vanguard Multifactor Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Vanguard Multifactor's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vanguard Multifactor's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 155.03 and 156.67, respectively. We have considered Vanguard Multifactor's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
155.85
155.03
Downside
155.85
Expected Value
156.67
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vanguard Multifactor etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vanguard Multifactor etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.4711
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.2156
MADMean absolute deviation0.9448
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0064
SAESum of the absolute errors57.63
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Vanguard Multifactor forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Vanguard Multifactor observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Vanguard Multifactor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Multifactor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
155.03155.85156.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
140.26164.45165.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
142.14150.13158.11
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Vanguard Multifactor

For every potential investor in Vanguard, whether a beginner or expert, Vanguard Multifactor's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vanguard Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vanguard. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vanguard Multifactor's price trends.

Vanguard Multifactor Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vanguard Multifactor etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vanguard Multifactor could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vanguard Multifactor by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Vanguard Multifactor Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Vanguard Multifactor's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Vanguard Multifactor's current price.

Vanguard Multifactor Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vanguard Multifactor etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vanguard Multifactor shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vanguard Multifactor etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Vanguard Multifactor entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Vanguard Multifactor Risk Indicators

The analysis of Vanguard Multifactor's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vanguard Multifactor's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vanguard etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Vanguard Multifactor is a strong investment it is important to analyze Vanguard Multifactor's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Vanguard Multifactor's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Vanguard Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vanguard Multifactor to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
The market value of Vanguard Multifactor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vanguard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vanguard Multifactor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vanguard Multifactor's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vanguard Multifactor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vanguard Multifactor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Multifactor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Multifactor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Multifactor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.