Victory Select Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

VFSAX Fund  USD 36.88  0.05  0.14%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Victory Select Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 36.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.78. Victory Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Victory Select's share price is above 70 at this time. This entails that the mutual fund is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Victory, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 70

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Victory Select's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Victory Select Fund, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Victory Select hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Victory Select Fund from the perspective of Victory Select response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Victory Select Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 36.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.78.

Victory Select after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 36.88  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Victory Select to cross-verify your projections.

Victory Select Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Victory price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Victory using various technical indicators. When you analyze Victory charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Victory Select price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Victory Select Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 19th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Victory Select Fund on the next trading day is expected to be 36.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47, mean absolute percentage error of 0.34, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.78.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Victory Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Victory Select's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Victory Select Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Victory SelectVictory Select Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Victory Select Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Victory Select's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Victory Select's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.58 and 36.75, respectively. We have considered Victory Select's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
36.88
36.16
Expected Value
36.75
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Victory Select mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Victory Select mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.0427
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4718
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0136
SAESum of the absolute errors28.7802
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Victory Select Fund historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Victory Select

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Victory Select. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.2936.8837.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.1937.8438.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
34.7836.0037.22
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Victory Select. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Victory Select's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Victory Select's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Victory Select.

Other Forecasting Options for Victory Select

For every potential investor in Victory, whether a beginner or expert, Victory Select's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Victory Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Victory. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Victory Select's price trends.

Victory Select Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Victory Select mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Victory Select could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Victory Select by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Victory Select Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Victory Select's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Victory Select's current price.

Victory Select Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Victory Select mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Victory Select shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Victory Select mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Victory Select Fund entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Victory Select Risk Indicators

The analysis of Victory Select's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Victory Select's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting victory mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Victory Mutual Fund

Victory Select financial ratios help investors to determine whether Victory Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Victory with respect to the benefits of owning Victory Select security.
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