Venture Global Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| VG Stock | USD 9.53 0.48 5.30% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Venture Global on the next trading day is expected to be 9.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.94. Venture Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Venture Global's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of relative strength index of Venture Global's stock price is roughly 63. This entails that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 23rd of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Venture, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year 0.8412 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.7201 | Wall Street Target Price 11.9118 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.595 |
Using Venture Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Venture Global from the perspective of Venture Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Venture Global using Venture Global's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Venture using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Venture Global's stock price.
Venture Global Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Venture Global's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Venture. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Venture Global stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 11.1659 | Short Ratio 6.6 | Shares Short Prior Month 49.3 M | 50 Day MA 7.161 | Shares Short 70.8 M |
Venture Global Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Venture Global's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Venture. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Venture can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Venture Global. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Venture Global Implied Volatility | 1.1 |
Venture Global's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Venture Global stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Venture Global's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Venture Global stock will not fluctuate a lot when Venture Global's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Venture Global on the next trading day is expected to be 9.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.94.
Venture Global after-hype prediction price | USD 9.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Venture Global to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Venture contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Venture Global will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0688% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Venture Global trading at USD 9.53, that is roughly USD 0.006552 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Venture Global's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Venture Global options at the current volatility level of 1.1%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Venture Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Venture Global's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Venture Global's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Venture Global stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Venture Global's open interest, investors have to compare it to Venture Global's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Venture Global is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Venture. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Venture Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Venture price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Venture using various technical indicators. When you analyze Venture charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Venture Global Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Venture Global's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 4.1 B | Current Value 3.3 B | Quarterly Volatility 1.5 B |
Venture Global Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Venture Global on the next trading day is expected to be 9.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Venture Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Venture Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Venture Global Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Venture Global | Venture Global Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Venture Global Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Venture Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Venture Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.24 and 14.16, respectively. We have considered Venture Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Venture Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Venture Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.5917 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2571 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0355 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.943 |
Predictive Modules for Venture Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Venture Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Venture Global After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Venture Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Venture Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Venture Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Venture Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Venture Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Venture Global's historical news coverage. Venture Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.10 and 13.96, respectively. We have considered Venture Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Venture Global is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Venture Global is based on 3 months time horizon.
Venture Global Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Venture Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Venture Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Venture Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 4.46 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 4 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.53 | 9.53 | 0.00 |
|
Venture Global Hype Timeline
As of January 23, 2026 Venture Global is listed for 9.53. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Venture is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Venture Global is about 10136.36%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.52. About 97.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Venture Global was at this time reported as 2.33. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 359.29. Venture Global last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. The entity had 1:10 split on the October 11, 2012. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Venture Global to cross-verify your projections.Venture Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Venture Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Venture Global's future price movements. Getting to know how Venture Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Venture Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PBA | Pembina Pipeline Corp | 0.16 | 10 per month | 1.27 | (0.01) | 1.59 | (1.63) | 6.67 | |
| DVN | Devon Energy | (0.43) | 10 per month | 1.64 | 0.1 | 3.91 | (3.33) | 9.52 | |
| EC | Ecopetrol SA ADR | (0.64) | 2 per month | 1.77 | 0.18 | 3.80 | (3.12) | 9.91 | |
| CQP | Cheniere Energy Partners | 0.30 | 10 per month | 1.14 | 0.07 | 2.36 | (2.09) | 7.32 | |
| CTRA | Coterra Energy | 0.16 | 6 per month | 1.53 | 0.11 | 2.70 | (2.90) | 9.69 | |
| TS | Tenaris SA ADR | (0.72) | 10 per month | 1.28 | 0.18 | 3.76 | (2.24) | 9.87 | |
| FTI | TechnipFMC PLC | 0.16 | 8 per month | 1.03 | 0.27 | 3.59 | (1.94) | 14.23 | |
| TPL | Texas Pacific Land | 0.16 | 14 per month | 2.20 | 0.03 | 5.79 | (3.90) | 16.39 | |
| HAL | Halliburton | 0.25 | 9 per month | 1.52 | 0.21 | 4.74 | (3.16) | 15.86 | |
| WES | Western Midstream Partners | 0.16 | 6 per month | 0.86 | 0.05 | 2.05 | (1.78) | 4.99 |
Other Forecasting Options for Venture Global
For every potential investor in Venture, whether a beginner or expert, Venture Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Venture Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Venture. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Venture Global's price trends.Venture Global Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Venture Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Venture Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Venture Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Venture Global Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Venture Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Venture Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Venture Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Venture Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Venture Global Risk Indicators
The analysis of Venture Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Venture Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting venture stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.37 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.32 | |||
| Variance | 18.64 | |||
| Downside Variance | 18.39 | |||
| Semi Variance | 17.03 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.57) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Venture Global
The number of cover stories for Venture Global depends on current market conditions and Venture Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Venture Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Venture Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Venture Global Short Properties
Venture Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when Venture Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Venture Global often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Venture Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Venture Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.6 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Venture Global to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Venture Stock please use our How to Invest in Venture Global guide.You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Venture Global. If investors know Venture will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Venture Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share 0.05 | Earnings Share 0.87 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.595 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Venture Global is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Venture that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Venture Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Venture Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Venture Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Venture Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Venture Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Venture Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Venture Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.