VGP NV Pink Sheet Forward View
| VGPBF Stock | USD 125.85 2.11 1.71% |
VGP Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of VGP NV's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 11th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of VGP NV's share price is below 20 . This entails that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using VGP NV hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VGP NV from the perspective of VGP NV response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of VGP NV on the next trading day is expected to be 126.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.76. VGP NV after-hype prediction price | USD 125.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
VGP |
VGP NV Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine VGP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VGP using various technical indicators. When you analyze VGP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
VGP NV Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of VGP NV on the next trading day is expected to be 126.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.08, mean absolute percentage error of 1.97, and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.76.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VGP Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VGP NV's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
VGP NV Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest VGP NV | VGP NV Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
VGP NV Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting VGP NV's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VGP NV's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 125.19 and 128.01, respectively. We have considered VGP NV's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VGP NV pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VGP NV pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.6261 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0767 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0091 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 66.756 |
Predictive Modules for VGP NV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VGP NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VGP NV After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of VGP NV at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VGP NV or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of VGP NV, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
VGP NV Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting VGP NV's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VGP NV's historical news coverage. VGP NV's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 124.44 and 127.26, respectively. We have considered VGP NV's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
VGP NV is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VGP NV is based on 3 months time horizon.
VGP NV Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as VGP NV is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VGP NV backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VGP NV, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.41 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
125.85 | 125.85 | 0.00 |
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VGP NV Hype Timeline
VGP NV is at this time traded for 125.85. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. VGP is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on VGP NV is about 1327.06%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 125.84. About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.81. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. VGP NV recorded earning per share (EPS) of 28.34. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VGP NV to cross-verify your projections.VGP NV Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to VGP NV's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VGP NV's future price movements. Getting to know how VGP NV's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VGP NV may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MMI | Marcus Millichap | (0.83) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.06 | (2.89) | 10.04 | |
| KW | Kennedy Wilson Holdings | 0.14 | 8 per month | 0.95 | (0.04) | 2.29 | (1.80) | 5.55 | |
| PEB | Pebblebrook Hotel Trust | (0.51) | 10 per month | 1.20 | 0.12 | 4.19 | (2.35) | 11.55 | |
| FOR | Forestar Group | 0.54 | 9 per month | 1.99 | 0.07 | 4.69 | (2.92) | 12.07 | |
| JBGS | JBG SMITH Properties | (0.05) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.97 | (2.61) | 6.30 | |
| RLJ | RLJ Lodging Trust | 0.19 | 7 per month | 1.09 | 0.13 | 3.87 | (2.22) | 8.37 | |
| XHR | Xenia Hotels Resorts | (0.11) | 7 per month | 0.99 | 0.17 | 3.33 | (2.11) | 7.84 | |
| AAT | American Assets Trust | (0.22) | 10 per month | 1.19 | (0.03) | 2.26 | (1.61) | 7.09 |
Other Forecasting Options for VGP NV
For every potential investor in VGP, whether a beginner or expert, VGP NV's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VGP Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VGP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VGP NV's price trends.VGP NV Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VGP NV pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VGP NV could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VGP NV by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
VGP NV Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VGP NV pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VGP NV shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VGP NV pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify VGP NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 125.85 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 125.85 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.05 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 2.11 |
VGP NV Risk Indicators
The analysis of VGP NV's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VGP NV's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vgp pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5418 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Variance | 1.9 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for VGP NV
The number of cover stories for VGP NV depends on current market conditions and VGP NV's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that VGP NV is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about VGP NV's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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VGP NV Short Properties
VGP NV's future price predictability will typically decrease when VGP NV's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of VGP NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential VGP NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VGP NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.8 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 44.1 M |
Other Information on Investing in VGP Pink Sheet
VGP NV financial ratios help investors to determine whether VGP Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VGP with respect to the benefits of owning VGP NV security.