VY GOLDMAN Mutual Fund Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| VGSBX Fund | USD 9.50 0.01 0.11% |
The 4 Period Moving Average output for Vy Goldman Sachs is derived from daily price data across the evaluation window. The error pattern reveals whether the model tracked prices consistently or diverged during volatile sessions. Parameters are re-estimated as new trading sessions are recorded, keeping the forecast current. The 4 Period Moving Average model projects VY GOLDMAN at 9.49 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. VY GOLDMAN's 4 Period Moving Average forecast is intended for short-term analytical reference.
4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 9th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average model forecasts VY GOLDMAN at 9.49 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.0013 , and sum of absolute errors of 0.68 .This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks VY GOLDMAN's recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest VY GOLDMAN | VY GOLDMAN Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast range for VY GOLDMAN defines statistically derived downside and upside boundaries based on model performance. The model places downside around 9.35 and upside around 9.63 for the next session. The narrow range indicates limited short-term dispersion.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 4 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for VY GOLDMAN mutual fund. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 102.3269 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0013 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0119 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0013 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.68 |
Other Forecasting Options for VY GOLDMAN
Relative Strength Index values for VGSBX measure the speed and magnitude of recent price changes. Recognizing these clusters in VY GOLDMAN's returns informs position size and stop-loss calibration. Candlestick pattern analysis of VGSBX Mutual Fund daily data reveals short-term reversal or continuation signals.VY GOLDMAN Comparable Funds
These peer funds are related to VY GOLDMAN and help frame its category context. Funds are typically compared on holdings mix, category returns, risk measures, and implementation cost rather than on operating-company margins. A fund that looks different from peers may simply be following a distinct exposure or payout strategy. Reviewing these related funds can sharpen the broader view of VY GOLDMAN's positioning.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
VY GOLDMAN Market Strength Events
Accumulation/Distribution and Balance of Power for VY GOLDMAN reveal whether buying or selling pressure dominates recent sessions. Balance of Power trending positive indicates that buyers are consistently closing VY GOLDMAN near session highs. These signals help explain whether price direction and session structure are moving together for VY GOLDMAN.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 9.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 9.5 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.005 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 55.17 |
VY GOLDMAN Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for VY GOLDMAN quantifies how much price variability the mutual fund has exhibited over the measurement window. Downside variance exceeding total variance indicates that negative moves in VY GOLDMAN have been larger or more frequent than positive ones. Mean deviation provides a more intuitive measure of typical price fluctuation than variance because it stays in the same units as VY GOLDMAN's price.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1084 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.0277 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1381 | |||
| Variance | 0.0191 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0273 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.0E-4 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.15 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.