Vicor Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| VICR Stock | USD 166.67 1.32 0.80% |
Vicor Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Vicor's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Vicor's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Vicor fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Vicor's stock price is slightly above 66. This entails that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Vicor, making its price go up or down. Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.461 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.245 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.2467 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.1567 | Wall Street Target Price 136.25 |
Using Vicor hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vicor from the perspective of Vicor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vicor using Vicor's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vicor using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vicor's stock price.
Vicor Short Interest
An investor who is long Vicor may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Vicor and may potentially protect profits, hedge Vicor with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 69.2721 | Short Percent 0.1268 | Short Ratio 2.98 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.5 M | 50 Day MA 118.0378 |
Vicor Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vicor on the next trading day is expected to be 166.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 208.05.Vicor Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Vicor's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Vicor. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Vicor can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Vicor. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Vicor's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Vicor.
Vicor Implied Volatility | 1.06 |
Vicor's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vicor stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vicor's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vicor stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vicor's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vicor on the next trading day is expected to be 166.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 208.05. Vicor after-hype prediction price | USD 180.11 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vicor to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Vicor contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Vicor will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0663% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Vicor trading at USD 166.67, that is roughly USD 0.11 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Vicor's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Vicor options at the current volatility level of 1.06%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Vicor Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Vicor's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Vicor's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Vicor stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Vicor's open interest, investors have to compare it to Vicor's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Vicor is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Vicor. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Vicor Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vicor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vicor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vicor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Vicor Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Vicor on the next trading day is expected to be 166.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.47, mean absolute percentage error of 23.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 208.05.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vicor Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vicor's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Vicor Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Vicor | Vicor Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Vicor Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Vicor's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vicor's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 162.92 and 170.42, respectively. We have considered Vicor's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vicor stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vicor stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.4251 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.1965 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.4675 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0284 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 208.05 |
Predictive Modules for Vicor
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vicor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vicor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vicor After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vicor at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vicor or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vicor, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vicor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vicor's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vicor's historical news coverage. Vicor's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 157.91 and 183.86, respectively. We have considered Vicor's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vicor is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vicor is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vicor Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vicor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vicor backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vicor, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.08 | 3.75 | 4.65 | 0.36 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
166.67 | 180.11 | 2.65 |
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Vicor Hype Timeline
Vicor is at this time traded for 166.67. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 4.65, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.36. Vicor is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 180.11 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 87.01%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 2.65%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.08%. The volatility of related hype on Vicor is about 1126.13%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 166.31. Vicor currently holds 7.34 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.02, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vicor to cross-verify your projections.Vicor Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vicor's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vicor's future price movements. Getting to know how Vicor's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vicor may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PLXS | Plexus Corp | 1.02 | 10 per month | 1.95 | 0.20 | 4.31 | (3.99) | 11.46 | |
| OSIS | OSI Systems | 2.72 | 7 per month | 2.67 | 0.0008 | 4.86 | (4.34) | 21.47 | |
| NOVT | Novanta | (8.75) | 10 per month | 4.08 | 0.02 | 6.97 | (4.57) | 26.00 | |
| ST | Sensata Technologies Holding | 0.38 | 10 per month | 2.01 | 0.08 | 4.81 | (3.39) | 10.52 | |
| ITRI | Itron Inc | (0.43) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.51 | (4.16) | 24.28 | |
| DLO | Dlocal | (0.16) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.11 | (4.02) | 11.21 | |
| SAIC | Science Applications International | 2.05 | 8 per month | 1.54 | 0.04 | 3.42 | (2.45) | 21.53 | |
| BMI | Badger Meter | (2.37) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.78 | (4.32) | 16.79 | |
| ESE | ESCO Technologies | 1.49 | 10 per month | 1.67 | 0.02 | 2.93 | (3.16) | 7.84 | |
| AVT | Avnet Inc | 0.72 | 9 per month | 1.05 | 0.14 | 3.50 | (1.89) | 14.38 |
Other Forecasting Options for Vicor
For every potential investor in Vicor, whether a beginner or expert, Vicor's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vicor Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vicor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vicor's price trends.Vicor Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vicor stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vicor could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vicor by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Vicor Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vicor stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vicor shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vicor stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vicor entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Vicor Risk Indicators
The analysis of Vicor's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vicor's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vicor stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.72 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.97 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.73 | |||
| Variance | 13.94 | |||
| Downside Variance | 15.95 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.82 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Vicor
The number of cover stories for Vicor depends on current market conditions and Vicor's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vicor is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vicor's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Vicor Short Properties
Vicor's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vicor's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vicor often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vicor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vicor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 45.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 277.3 M |
Additional Tools for Vicor Stock Analysis
When running Vicor's price analysis, check to measure Vicor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vicor is operating at the current time. Most of Vicor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vicor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vicor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vicor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.