Veolia Environnement Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

VIE Stock  EUR 27.84  0.07  0.25%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Veolia Environnement VE on the next trading day is expected to be 27.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.58. Veolia Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Veolia Environnement stock prices and determine the direction of Veolia Environnement VE's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Veolia Environnement's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Veolia Environnement is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Veolia Environnement Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Veolia Environnement VE on the next trading day is expected to be 27.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.10, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Veolia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Veolia Environnement's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Veolia Environnement Stock Forecast Pattern

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Veolia Environnement Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Veolia Environnement's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Veolia Environnement's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.85 and 28.83, respectively. We have considered Veolia Environnement's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
27.84
27.84
Expected Value
28.83
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Veolia Environnement stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Veolia Environnement stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.1394
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0505
MADMean absolute deviation0.2641
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.009
SAESum of the absolute errors15.58
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Veolia Environnement VE price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Veolia Environnement. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Veolia Environnement

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Veolia Environnement. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.8527.8428.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.5428.5329.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
27.6228.2328.85
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Veolia Environnement

For every potential investor in Veolia, whether a beginner or expert, Veolia Environnement's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Veolia Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Veolia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Veolia Environnement's price trends.

Veolia Environnement Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Veolia Environnement stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Veolia Environnement could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Veolia Environnement by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Veolia Environnement Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Veolia Environnement's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Veolia Environnement's current price.

Veolia Environnement Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Veolia Environnement stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Veolia Environnement shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Veolia Environnement stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Veolia Environnement VE entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Veolia Environnement Risk Indicators

The analysis of Veolia Environnement's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Veolia Environnement's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting veolia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Veolia Stock

Veolia Environnement financial ratios help investors to determine whether Veolia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Veolia with respect to the benefits of owning Veolia Environnement security.