Villars Holding Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| VILN Stock | CHF 575.00 5.00 0.86% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Villars Holding SA on the next trading day is expected to be 571.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 402.74. Villars Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Villars Holding's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Villars Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Villars Holding SA from the perspective of Villars Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Villars Holding SA on the next trading day is expected to be 571.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.60 and the sum of the absolute errors of 402.74. Villars Holding after-hype prediction price | CHF 575.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Villars |
Villars Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Villars price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Villars using various technical indicators. When you analyze Villars charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Villars Holding Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 18th of January 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Villars Holding SA on the next trading day is expected to be 571.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.60, mean absolute percentage error of 74.33, and the sum of the absolute errors of 402.74.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Villars Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Villars Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Villars Holding Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Villars Holding | Villars Holding Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Villars Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Villars Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.419 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.6024 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.011 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 402.7434 |
Predictive Modules for Villars Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Villars Holding SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Villars Holding Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Villars Holding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Villars Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Villars Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Villars Holding Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Villars Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Villars Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Villars Holding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Villars Holding SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Villars Holding Risk Indicators
The analysis of Villars Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Villars Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting villars stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Variance | 3.32 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Villars Stock Analysis
When running Villars Holding's price analysis, check to measure Villars Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Villars Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Villars Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Villars Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Villars Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Villars Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.