Virtus Investment Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

VIP Stock  EUR 143.00  4.00  2.72%   
Virtus Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Virtus Investment's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026, The value of RSI of Virtus Investment's share price is at 51. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Virtus Investment, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 51

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Virtus Investment's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Virtus Investment and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Virtus Investment's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Virtus Investment Partners, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Virtus Investment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Virtus Investment Partners from the perspective of Virtus Investment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Virtus Investment Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 142.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 119.66.

Virtus Investment after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 143.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Virtus Investment to cross-verify your projections.

Virtus Investment Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Virtus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Virtus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Virtus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Virtus Investment Partners is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Virtus Investment 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Virtus Investment Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 142.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.10, mean absolute percentage error of 7.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 119.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Virtus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Virtus Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Virtus Investment Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Virtus Investment  Virtus Investment Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Virtus Investment Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Virtus Investment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Virtus Investment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 140.73 and 144.77, respectively. We have considered Virtus Investment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
143.00
140.73
Downside
142.75
Expected Value
144.77
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Virtus Investment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Virtus Investment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.7317
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1826
MADMean absolute deviation2.0993
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0151
SAESum of the absolute errors119.6625
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Virtus Investment. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Virtus Investment Partners and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Virtus Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Virtus Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
141.00143.00145.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
139.25141.25143.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
135.36141.50147.64
Details

Virtus Investment After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Virtus Investment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Virtus Investment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Virtus Investment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Virtus Investment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Virtus Investment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Virtus Investment's historical news coverage. Virtus Investment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 141.00 and 145.00, respectively. We have considered Virtus Investment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
143.00
141.00
Downside
143.00
After-hype Price
145.00
Upside
Virtus Investment is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Virtus Investment is based on 3 months time horizon.

Virtus Investment Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Virtus Investment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Virtus Investment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Virtus Investment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
2.02
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
143.00
143.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Virtus Investment Hype Timeline

Virtus Investment is at this time traded for 143.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Virtus is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Virtus Investment is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 143.00. About 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.78. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Virtus Investment recorded earning per share (EPS) of 14.6. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of April 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be any time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Virtus Investment to cross-verify your projections.

Virtus Investment Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Virtus Investment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Virtus Investment's future price movements. Getting to know how Virtus Investment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Virtus Investment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Virtus Investment

For every potential investor in Virtus, whether a beginner or expert, Virtus Investment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Virtus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Virtus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Virtus Investment's price trends.

Virtus Investment Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Virtus Investment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Virtus Investment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Virtus Investment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Virtus Investment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Virtus Investment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Virtus Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Virtus Investment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Virtus Investment Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Virtus Investment Risk Indicators

The analysis of Virtus Investment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Virtus Investment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting virtus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Virtus Investment

The number of cover stories for Virtus Investment depends on current market conditions and Virtus Investment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Virtus Investment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Virtus Investment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Virtus Stock

When determining whether Virtus Investment is a strong investment it is important to analyze Virtus Investment's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Virtus Investment's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Virtus Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Virtus Investment to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Virtus Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Virtus Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Virtus Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.