Virtual Protocol Crypto Coin Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| VIRTUAL Crypto | USD 0.65 0.02 3.17% |
Virtual Crypto Coin outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At the present time, the RSI of Virtual Protocol's share price is approaching 35. This entails that the crypto coin is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Virtual Protocol, making its price go up or down. Momentum 35
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Virtual Protocol hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Virtual Protocol from the perspective of Virtual Protocol response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Virtual Protocol on the next trading day is expected to be 0.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.03. Virtual Protocol after-hype prediction price | .CC 0.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as crypto price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Virtual |
Virtual Protocol Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Virtual price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Virtual using various technical indicators. When you analyze Virtual charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Virtual Protocol Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Virtual Protocol on the next trading day is expected to be 0.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.03.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Virtual Crypto Coin prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Virtual Protocol's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Virtual Protocol Crypto Coin Forecast Pattern
Virtual Protocol Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Virtual Protocol's Crypto Coin value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Virtual Protocol's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 8.09, respectively. We have considered Virtual Protocol's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Virtual Protocol crypto coin data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Virtual Protocol crypto coin, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0077 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0505 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0574 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.0303 |
Predictive Modules for Virtual Protocol
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Virtual Protocol. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Virtual Protocol's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Virtual Protocol After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Virtual Protocol at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Virtual Protocol or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Crypto Coin prices, such as prices of Virtual Protocol, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Virtual Protocol Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Virtual Protocol's crypto coin value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Virtual Protocol's historical news coverage. Virtual Protocol's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 8.11, respectively. We have considered Virtual Protocol's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Virtual Protocol is unreasonably risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Virtual Protocol is based on 3 months time horizon.
Virtual Protocol Crypto Coin Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Cryptocurrency such as Virtual Protocol is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Virtual Protocol backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Crypto price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Virtual Protocol, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.06 | 7.46 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.65 | 0.65 | 0.00 |
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Virtual Protocol Hype Timeline
Virtual Protocol is at this time traded for 0.65. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Virtual is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -1.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Virtual Protocol is about 337471.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.65. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Virtual Protocol to cross-verify your projections.Virtual Protocol Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Virtual Protocol's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Virtual Protocol's future price movements. Getting to know how Virtual Protocol's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Virtual Protocol may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VIRTUAL | Virtual Protocol | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 10.94 | (12.94) | 45.33 | |
| STETH | Staked Ether | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 6.45 | (6.37) | 20.42 | |
| EIGEN | EigenLayer | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 9.09 | (9.09) | 30.00 | |
| EOSDAC | EOSDAC | (0.000007) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 6.33 | (8.98) | 20.39 | |
| BLZ | BLZ | 0.0004 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 18.07 | (8.45) | 37.84 | |
| MORPHO | Morpho | (0.01) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.96 | (6.00) | 25.26 | |
| DIA | DIA | 0.01 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 7.69 | (8.33) | 30.57 | |
| EM | EM | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AE | AE | (0.0005) | 1 per month | 10.21 | 0.15 | 26.31 | (4.72) | 146.40 |
Other Forecasting Options for Virtual Protocol
For every potential investor in Virtual, whether a beginner or expert, Virtual Protocol's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Virtual Crypto Coin price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Virtual. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Virtual Protocol's price trends.Virtual Protocol Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Virtual Protocol crypto coin to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Virtual Protocol could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Virtual Protocol by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Virtual Protocol Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Virtual Protocol crypto coin reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Virtual Protocol shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Virtual Protocol crypto coin market strength indicators, traders can identify Virtual Protocol entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Virtual Protocol Risk Indicators
The analysis of Virtual Protocol's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Virtual Protocol's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting virtual crypto coin prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.2 | |||
| Variance | 67.2 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Virtual Protocol
The number of cover stories for Virtual Protocol depends on current market conditions and Virtual Protocol's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Virtual Protocol is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Virtual Protocol's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Virtual Protocol to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.