Visium Technologies Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| VISM Stock | USD 0.01 0.0003 4.92% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Visium Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0004 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.02. Visium Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Visium Technologies' share price is at 52. This entails that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Visium Technologies, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Visium Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Visium Technologies from the perspective of Visium Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Visium Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0004 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.02. Visium Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 0.00463 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Visium |
Visium Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Visium price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Visium using various technical indicators. When you analyze Visium charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Visium Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Visium Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0004, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000027, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.02.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Visium Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Visium Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Visium Technologies Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Visium Technologies | Visium Technologies Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Visium Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Visium Technologies' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Visium Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000064 and 11.14, respectively. We have considered Visium Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Visium Technologies pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Visium Technologies pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 102.9966 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0709 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0245 |
Predictive Modules for Visium Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Visium Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Visium Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Visium Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Visium Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Visium Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Visium Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Visium Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Visium Technologies' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Visium Technologies' historical news coverage. Visium Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 11.14, respectively. We have considered Visium Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Visium Technologies is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Visium Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Visium Technologies Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Visium Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Visium Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Visium Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.65 | 11.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.01 | 0 | 10.23 |
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Visium Technologies Hype Timeline
Visium Technologies is at this time traded for 0.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Visium is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.00463 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 10.23%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.65%. The volatility of related hype on Visium Technologies is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.01. Visium Technologies currently holds 1.28 M in liabilities. Visium Technologies has a current ratio of 0.12, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Visium Technologies until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Visium Technologies' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Visium Technologies sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Visium to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Visium Technologies' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Visium Technologies to cross-verify your projections.Visium Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Visium Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Visium Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Visium Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Visium Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| INOTF | Predictiv AI | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NFTFF | NFT Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| XELA | Exela Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 54.23 | 0.40 | 1,000.00 | (94.44) | 1,097 | |
| WRCDF | Wirecard AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 995.00 | |
| DRCR | Dear Cashmere Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 20.63 | (16.79) | 74.53 | |
| DGNG | Diguang Intl Dev | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.62 | |
| GTCH | GBT Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 24.57 | 0.17 | 100.00 | (50.00) | 150.00 | |
| TRSO | TransuiteOrg | 0.00 | 0 per month | 19.45 | 0.12 | 66.67 | (40.00) | 371.56 | |
| CLRI | Cleartronic | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.96 | 0.04 | 20.00 | (11.33) | 78.19 | |
| ABQQ | AB International Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 20.65 | 0.17 | 100.00 | (50.00) | 360.41 |
Other Forecasting Options for Visium Technologies
For every potential investor in Visium, whether a beginner or expert, Visium Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Visium Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Visium. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Visium Technologies' price trends.Visium Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Visium Technologies pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Visium Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Visium Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Visium Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Visium Technologies pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Visium Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Visium Technologies pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Visium Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 6521.74 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.6 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.05 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0067 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0066 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.0001) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 3.0E-4 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 52.14 |
Story Coverage note for Visium Technologies
The number of cover stories for Visium Technologies depends on current market conditions and Visium Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Visium Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Visium Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Visium Technologies Short Properties
Visium Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Visium Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Visium Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Visium Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Visium Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 137 K |
Other Information on Investing in Visium Pink Sheet
Visium Technologies financial ratios help investors to determine whether Visium Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Visium with respect to the benefits of owning Visium Technologies security.