Vision Lithium Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| VLI Stock | CAD 0.03 0.01 25.00% |
Vision Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Vision Lithium's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Vision Lithium hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vision Lithium from the perspective of Vision Lithium response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Vision Lithium on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0006 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04. Vision Lithium after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.03 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Vision |
Vision Lithium Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vision price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vision using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vision charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Vision Lithium Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 9th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Vision Lithium on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0006, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000477, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vision Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vision Lithium's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Vision Lithium Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Vision Lithium | Vision Lithium Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Vision Lithium Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Vision Lithium's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Vision Lithium's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0003 and 8.26, respectively. We have considered Vision Lithium's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vision Lithium stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vision Lithium stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 102.1809 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0263 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0375 |
Predictive Modules for Vision Lithium
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vision Lithium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vision Lithium After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vision Lithium at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vision Lithium or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vision Lithium, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vision Lithium Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vision Lithium's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vision Lithium's historical news coverage. Vision Lithium's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 8.27, respectively. We have considered Vision Lithium's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vision Lithium is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vision Lithium is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vision Lithium Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vision Lithium is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vision Lithium backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vision Lithium, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.66 | 8.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.03 | 0.03 | 20.00 |
|
Vision Lithium Hype Timeline
Vision Lithium is at this time traded for 0.03on TSX Venture Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Vision is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.03 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is anticipated to be 20.0%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.66%. The volatility of related hype on Vision Lithium is about 329600.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.03. Vision Lithium has accumulated 1.31 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Vision Lithium has a current ratio of 6.75, suggesting that it is liquid and has the ability to pay its financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Vision Lithium until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Vision Lithium's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Vision Lithium sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Vision to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Vision Lithium's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Vision Lithium to cross-verify your projections.Vision Lithium Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vision Lithium's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vision Lithium's future price movements. Getting to know how Vision Lithium's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vision Lithium may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GCOM | Green Shift Commodities | 0.00 | 9 per month | 9.69 | 0.12 | 33.33 | (25.00) | 83.33 | |
| RKR | ROKMASTER Resources Corp | 0.00 | 6 per month | 7.24 | 0.11 | 25.00 | (16.67) | 64.77 | |
| NZP | Chatham Rock Phosphate | 0.01 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 25.00 | (20.00) | 45.00 | |
| NRN | Northern Shield Resources | 0.00 | 4 per month | 7.87 | 0.07 | 20.00 | (16.67) | 52.50 |
Other Forecasting Options for Vision Lithium
For every potential investor in Vision, whether a beginner or expert, Vision Lithium's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Vision Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Vision. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Vision Lithium's price trends.Vision Lithium Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Vision Lithium stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Vision Lithium could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vision Lithium by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Vision Lithium Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Vision Lithium stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Vision Lithium shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Vision Lithium stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Vision Lithium entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Vision Lithium Risk Indicators
The analysis of Vision Lithium's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Vision Lithium's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vision stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.05 | |||
| Variance | 64.77 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Vision Lithium
The number of cover stories for Vision Lithium depends on current market conditions and Vision Lithium's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vision Lithium is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vision Lithium's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Additional Tools for Vision Stock Analysis
When running Vision Lithium's price analysis, check to measure Vision Lithium's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vision Lithium is operating at the current time. Most of Vision Lithium's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vision Lithium's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vision Lithium's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vision Lithium to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.