Viscount Mining Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

VLMGF Stock  USD 0.65  0.02  2.99%   
Viscount Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Viscount Mining's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 4th of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Viscount Mining's share price is at 51. This entails that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Viscount Mining, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 51

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Viscount Mining's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Viscount Mining and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Viscount Mining's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Viscount Mining Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Viscount Mining hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Viscount Mining Corp from the perspective of Viscount Mining response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Viscount Mining Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.84.

Viscount Mining after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.65  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Viscount Mining to cross-verify your projections.

Viscount Mining Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Viscount price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Viscount using various technical indicators. When you analyze Viscount charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Viscount Mining simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Viscount Mining Corp are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Viscount Mining Corp prices get older.

Viscount Mining Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Viscount Mining Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Viscount Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Viscount Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Viscount Mining Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Viscount Mining  Viscount Mining Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Viscount Mining Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Viscount Mining's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Viscount Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 10.83, respectively. We have considered Viscount Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.65
0.65
Expected Value
10.83
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Viscount Mining pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Viscount Mining pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.1594
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.006
MADMean absolute deviation0.0301
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0525
SAESum of the absolute errors1.8376
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Viscount Mining Corp forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Viscount Mining observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Viscount Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Viscount Mining Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.6510.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.6110.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Viscount Mining. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Viscount Mining's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Viscount Mining's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Viscount Mining Corp.

Viscount Mining After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Viscount Mining at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Viscount Mining or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Viscount Mining, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Viscount Mining Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Viscount Mining's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Viscount Mining's historical news coverage. Viscount Mining's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 10.77, respectively. We have considered Viscount Mining's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.65
0.65
After-hype Price
10.77
Upside
Viscount Mining is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Viscount Mining Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Viscount Mining Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Viscount Mining is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Viscount Mining backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Viscount Mining, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.22 
10.18
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.65
0.65
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Viscount Mining Hype Timeline

Viscount Mining Corp is at this time traded for 0.65. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Viscount is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on Viscount Mining is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.65. The book value of the company was at this time reported as 0.08. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. Viscount Mining Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Viscount Mining to cross-verify your projections.

Viscount Mining Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Viscount Mining's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Viscount Mining's future price movements. Getting to know how Viscount Mining's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Viscount Mining may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DNCVFDefiance Silver Corp 0.00 0 per month 5.01  0.14  16.67 (10.53) 35.43 
TEUTFTeuton Resources Corp 0.00 0 per month 3.68  0.18  9.88 (7.07) 37.60 
RITEMineralrite Corporat 0.00 0 per month 6.08  0.08  11.11 (10.00) 83.78 
HGLDPatagonia Gold Corp 0.00 0 per month 12.25  0.23  50.00 (23.08) 109.01 
SCTSFScottie Resources Corp 0.00 0 per month 3.03  0.10  7.14 (4.80) 21.17 
MMNGFMetallic Minerals Corp 0.00 0 per month 5.30  0.05  8.33 (9.09) 32.29 
NAUFFNevGold Corp 0.00 0 per month 5.23  0.13  11.27 (8.93) 25.42 
KDKCFKodiak Copper Corp 0.00 0 per month 2.99  0.15  6.56 (4.94) 15.65 
MERGMerger Mines 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CTMCFCanterra Minerals 0.00 0 per month 4.76  0.1  14.29 (7.14) 49.70 

Other Forecasting Options for Viscount Mining

For every potential investor in Viscount, whether a beginner or expert, Viscount Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Viscount Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Viscount. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Viscount Mining's price trends.

Viscount Mining Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Viscount Mining pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Viscount Mining could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Viscount Mining by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Viscount Mining Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Viscount Mining pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Viscount Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Viscount Mining pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Viscount Mining Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Viscount Mining Risk Indicators

The analysis of Viscount Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Viscount Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting viscount pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Viscount Mining

The number of cover stories for Viscount Mining depends on current market conditions and Viscount Mining's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Viscount Mining is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Viscount Mining's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Viscount Pink Sheet

Viscount Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Viscount Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Viscount with respect to the benefits of owning Viscount Mining security.