VNET Group Stock Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average

VNET Stock  USD 11.00  0.29  2.57%   
VNET Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength indicator of VNET Group's share price is at 56. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling VNET Group, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 56

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of VNET Group's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with VNET Group DRC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting VNET Group's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.333
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.1606
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.07)
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.6927
Wall Street Target Price
15.1243
Using VNET Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VNET Group DRC from the perspective of VNET Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards VNET Group using VNET Group's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards VNET using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of VNET Group's stock price.

VNET Group Short Interest

An investor who is long VNET Group may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about VNET Group and may potentially protect profits, hedge VNET Group with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
8.1626
Short Percent
0.2132
Short Ratio
6.42
Shares Short Prior Month
28.1 M
50 Day MA
9.337

VNET Relative Strength Index

The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of VNET Group DRC on the next trading day is expected to be 11.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.48.

VNET Group DRC Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to VNET Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in VNET. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding VNET can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around VNET Group DRC. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of VNET Group's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about VNET Group.

VNET Group Implied Volatility

    
  1.05  
VNET Group's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of VNET Group DRC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if VNET Group's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that VNET Group stock will not fluctuate a lot when VNET Group's options are near their expiration.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of VNET Group DRC on the next trading day is expected to be 11.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.48.

VNET Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VNET Group to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current VNET contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that VNET Group DRC will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0656% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With VNET Group trading at USD 11.0, that is roughly USD 0.007219 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating VNET Group's daily price movement you should consider acquiring VNET Group DRC options at the current volatility level of 1.05%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 VNET Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast VNET Group's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in VNET Group's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for VNET Group stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current VNET Group's open interest, investors have to compare it to VNET Group's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of VNET Group is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in VNET. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

VNET Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine VNET price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VNET using various technical indicators. When you analyze VNET charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A four-period moving average forecast model for VNET Group DRC is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

VNET Group 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of VNET Group DRC on the next trading day is expected to be 11.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 0.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.48.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VNET Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VNET Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

VNET Group Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest VNET Group  VNET Group Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

VNET Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting VNET Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VNET Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.17 and 15.15, respectively. We have considered VNET Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.00
11.16
Expected Value
15.15
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VNET Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VNET Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.5746
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0564
MADMean absolute deviation0.3944
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0405
SAESum of the absolute errors22.4825
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of VNET Group. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for VNET Group DRC and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for VNET Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VNET Group DRC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VNET Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.0111.0014.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.0011.9915.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
8.1010.1912.29
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.7615.1216.79
Details

VNET Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of VNET Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VNET Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of VNET Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

VNET Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting VNET Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VNET Group's historical news coverage. VNET Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.01 and 14.99, respectively. We have considered VNET Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.00
11.00
After-hype Price
14.99
Upside
VNET Group is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VNET Group DRC is based on 3 months time horizon.

VNET Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as VNET Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VNET Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VNET Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
3.99
 0.00  
  0.36 
8 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.00
11.00
0.00 
19,950  
Notes

VNET Group Hype Timeline

VNET Group DRC is at this time traded for 11.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.36. VNET is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on VNET Group is about 232.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.36. About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of VNET Group was at this time reported as 3.07. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.49. VNET Group DRC recorded a loss per share of 0.31. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VNET Group to cross-verify your projections.

VNET Group Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to VNET Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VNET Group's future price movements. Getting to know how VNET Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VNET Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AIC3 Ai Inc(0.25)3 per month 0.00 (0.18) 4.45 (5.10) 11.16 
GLOBGlobant SA(0.68)8 per month 2.49  0.05  5.74 (3.52) 14.86 
INODInnodata(1.36)12 per month 0.00 (0.04) 10.53 (7.73) 25.81 
CLVTCLARIVATE PLC 0.08 9 per month 0.00 (0.16) 4.12 (5.95) 13.67 
DXCDXC Technology Co 0.32 8 per month 2.15  0.03  3.28 (3.49) 16.29 
CNXCConcentrix 1.90 6 per month 0.00 (0.09) 4.31 (5.95) 19.52 
RNGRingcentral 0.13 9 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.11 (5.30) 11.10 
FORTYFormula Systems 1985 14.12 5 per month 3.87  0.15  7.00 (7.01) 23.60 
NPNeptune Insurance Holdings 1.04 8 per month 2.63 (0.01) 5.29 (3.89) 15.06 
ASGNASGN Inc 1.89 11 per month 1.67  0.03  3.65 (3.02) 11.39 

Other Forecasting Options for VNET Group

For every potential investor in VNET, whether a beginner or expert, VNET Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VNET Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VNET. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VNET Group's price trends.

VNET Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VNET Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VNET Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VNET Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

VNET Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VNET Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VNET Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VNET Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify VNET Group DRC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

VNET Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of VNET Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VNET Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vnet stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for VNET Group

The number of cover stories for VNET Group depends on current market conditions and VNET Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that VNET Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about VNET Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

VNET Group Short Properties

VNET Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when VNET Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of VNET Group DRC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential VNET Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VNET Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding290.4 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

Additional Tools for VNET Stock Analysis

When running VNET Group's price analysis, check to measure VNET Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VNET Group is operating at the current time. Most of VNET Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VNET Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VNET Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VNET Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.