VNV Global Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

VNV Stock  SEK 19.09  0.34  1.75%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of VNV Global AB on the next trading day is expected to be 19.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.23. VNV Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for VNV Global is based on an artificially constructed time series of VNV Global daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

VNV Global 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of VNV Global AB on the next trading day is expected to be 19.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43, mean absolute percentage error of 0.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VNV Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VNV Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

VNV Global Stock Forecast Pattern

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VNV Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting VNV Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VNV Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.59 and 21.44, respectively. We have considered VNV Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
19.09
19.02
Expected Value
21.44
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VNV Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VNV Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.9526
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1097
MADMean absolute deviation0.4301
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.022
SAESum of the absolute errors23.225
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. VNV Global AB 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for VNV Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VNV Global AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.0319.4321.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.1619.5621.96
Details

Other Forecasting Options for VNV Global

For every potential investor in VNV, whether a beginner or expert, VNV Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VNV Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VNV. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VNV Global's price trends.

VNV Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VNV Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VNV Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VNV Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

VNV Global AB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of VNV Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of VNV Global's current price.

VNV Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VNV Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VNV Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VNV Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify VNV Global AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

VNV Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of VNV Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VNV Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vnv stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for VNV Stock Analysis

When running VNV Global's price analysis, check to measure VNV Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VNV Global is operating at the current time. Most of VNV Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VNV Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VNV Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VNV Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.