VinaCapital Vietnam Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

VOF Stock   473.50  2.50  0.53%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity on the next trading day is expected to be 473.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 263.15. VinaCapital Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast VinaCapital Vietnam stock prices and determine the direction of VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of VinaCapital Vietnam's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength indicator of VinaCapital Vietnam's share price is at 52. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling VinaCapital Vietnam, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 52

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of VinaCapital Vietnam's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of VinaCapital Vietnam and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from VinaCapital Vietnam's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting VinaCapital Vietnam's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.848
Wall Street Target Price
550
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.551
Using VinaCapital Vietnam hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity from the perspective of VinaCapital Vietnam response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity on the next trading day is expected to be 473.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 263.15.

VinaCapital Vietnam after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 473.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VinaCapital Vietnam to cross-verify your projections.
At present, VinaCapital Vietnam's Other Assets are projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Short Term Investments is expected to grow to about 1.4 B, whereas Total Stockholder Equity is forecasted to decline to about 864.4 M.

VinaCapital Vietnam Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine VinaCapital price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VinaCapital using various technical indicators. When you analyze VinaCapital charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
VinaCapital Vietnam simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as VinaCapital Vietnam prices get older.

VinaCapital Vietnam Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity on the next trading day is expected to be 473.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.31, mean absolute percentage error of 37.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 263.15.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VinaCapital Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VinaCapital Vietnam's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

VinaCapital Vietnam Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest VinaCapital VietnamVinaCapital Vietnam Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

VinaCapital Vietnam Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting VinaCapital Vietnam's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VinaCapital Vietnam's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 472.17 and 474.83, respectively. We have considered VinaCapital Vietnam's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
473.50
472.17
Downside
473.50
Expected Value
474.83
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VinaCapital Vietnam stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VinaCapital Vietnam stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.7324
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.128
MADMean absolute deviation4.3139
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0094
SAESum of the absolute errors263.15
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent VinaCapital Vietnam observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for VinaCapital Vietnam

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VinaCapital Vietnam. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
472.18473.50474.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
392.06393.38520.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
448.60464.00479.40
Details

Other Forecasting Options for VinaCapital Vietnam

For every potential investor in VinaCapital, whether a beginner or expert, VinaCapital Vietnam's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VinaCapital Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VinaCapital. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VinaCapital Vietnam's price trends.

VinaCapital Vietnam Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VinaCapital Vietnam stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VinaCapital Vietnam could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VinaCapital Vietnam by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

VinaCapital Vietnam Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of VinaCapital Vietnam's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of VinaCapital Vietnam's current price.

VinaCapital Vietnam Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VinaCapital Vietnam stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VinaCapital Vietnam shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VinaCapital Vietnam stock market strength indicators, traders can identify VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

VinaCapital Vietnam Risk Indicators

The analysis of VinaCapital Vietnam's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VinaCapital Vietnam's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vinacapital stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in VinaCapital Stock

VinaCapital Vietnam financial ratios help investors to determine whether VinaCapital Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VinaCapital with respect to the benefits of owning VinaCapital Vietnam security.